Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 15 2013

  Philadelphia Fed Business Activity Index Slips; Pricing Power Evaporates

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank reported that its General Business Conditions Index fell during April to 1.3. That followed an unrevised March improvement to 2.0. Haver Analytics constructs a seasonally adjusted figure [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 15 2013

  U.S. Home Builders Index Falls to Six-Month Low

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo declined to 42 this month following an unrevised March reading of 44. Expectations were for an index reading of 45 in April. The latest was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 15 2013

  Empire State Factory Index Deteriorates

  Forward momentum in factory sector activity is losing steam. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that the Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions declined to 3.05 this month from an unrevised 9.24 in March. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 12 2013

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Revisits July low

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for mid-April fell sharply m/m to 72.3 from 78.6 in March. The latest reading matched the low this past July. It was the lowest since December 2011 and compared to the consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 12 2013

  U.S. PPI Whipsawed By Food & Energy; Core Trends Lower

  The producer price index for finished goods fell 0.6% last month (+1.1% y/y) and reversed an unrevised 0.7% February gain. The decline exceeded expectations for a 0.2% dip. Prices excluding food & energy gained 0.2% (1.7% y/y) for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 12 2013

  U.S. Retail Sales Led Lower by Gasoline Price Decline

  Retail sales during March fell 0.4% (+2.8% y/y) following a 1.0% rise in February, earlier reported as 1.1%. The latest decline was deeper than an expected 0.1% slip, according to Action Economics. Retail sales excluding autos also [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 11 2013

  U.S. Budget Deficit Improves Significantly

  The Federal Government budget deficit narrowed sharply to $105.5B during March of FY'13 versus a deficit of $198.2B one year earlier. The figure roughly matched expectations. So far this fiscal year the deficit has totaled $600.5B, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 11 2013

  U.S. Import Prices Retreat With Broad-based Declines

  Prices in the U.S. foreign trade sector weakened last month and reversed earlier strength. Import prices fell 0.5% (-2.7% y/y) during March after the 0.6% February rise, earlier reported as 1.1%. The Action Economics survey looked for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 11 2013

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Retreat

  Last week's decline in initial claims for jobless insurance more-than reversed strength during the prior two weeks. Claims fell to 346,000 (-8.5% y/y) during the week ended April 6 from a revised 388,000 during the prior week, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 10 2013

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Recover As Interest Rates Decline

  The index of total mortgage applications from the Mortgage Banker Association increased 4.5% (21.7% y/y) last week and reversed the prior week's falloff. The rise was led by a 6.3% gain (28.5% y/y) in applications to refinance an [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 09 2013

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Improves To Recovery High

  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the February Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report, the job openings rate rose to 2.8% from a revised 2.7% in January. The latest was the highest since June of last year and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 09 2013

  U.S. Energy Prices Ease

  The upcoming summer driving season will potentially be a little easier on motorists' wallets. To gain perspective, Haver Analytics constructs seasonal factors to account for the normal seasonal volatility in gasoline prices. Last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief