Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 09 2013

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Backpedals; Employment Readings Weaken

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its March Small Business Optimism Index fell after three months of increase. The decline in the seasonally adjusted index to 89.5 from 90.8 in February left the index well [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 08 2013

  U.S. Trade Deficit Improves With Higher Exports

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit during February eased to $43.0 from $44.5B in January, barely revised from $44.4B. A $44.6B deficit had been expected. The m/m deficit improvement owed to a 0.8% gain (3.2% y/y) in exports while imports [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 05 2013

  U.S. Employment Gain Is Disappointing; Jobless Rate Continues To Slip

  The labor market grudgingly improved last month. Payroll employment increased 88,000 (1.4% y/y) following upwardly revised gains of 268,000 and 148,000 during the prior two months. Consensus had been looking for a 185,000 increase. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 04 2013

  Challenger Job Cuts Slip M/M

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that 49,225 job cuts were announced during March. This latest level was down m/m but remained up from the the recovery low of 32,239 reached last August. Job cuts declined [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 04 2013

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Spike

  Initial claims for jobless insurance jumped to 385,000 (4.6% y/y) during the week ended March 30 from an unrevised 357,000 during the prior week Consensus expectations were for 349,000 claims. This latest claims figure was the highest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 03 2013

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Decline Led by Fewer Refinancings

  The index of total mortgage applications from the Mortgage Banker Association declined 4.0% (+13.7% y/y) last week and reversed much of the prior week's rise. The latest decline was led by a 5.6% decline (+17.1% y/y) in applications [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 03 2013

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Falls Sharply

  The Composite Index for the service and construction sectors from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) declined significantly to 54.4 last month from 56.0 during February. This latest level was the lowest since August and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 03 2013

  U.S. ADP Employment Survey Indicates Slower Growth

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report indicated that growth in private sector jobs eased last month to its least since October. The 158,000 gain (1.7% y/y) followed a 238,000 February increase, initially reported as 198,000. Last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 02 2013

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Dip M/M But Hold the High Ground

  Vehicle sales have been firm for five months at the highest level since early-2008. During March, unit sales of light motor vehicles slipped 0.7% m/m (+8.0% y/y) to 15.27M (SAAR) according to the Autodata Corporation. Sales matched [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 02 2013

  U.S. Factory Orders Increase Sharply

  Orders to all manufacturers increased an expected 3.0% (2.7% y/y) during February, following a 1.0% January decline, revised from -2.0%. A 5.6% rebound (3.9% y/y) in durable goods bookings, little-revised from the advance report, led [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 02 2013

  Chain Store Sales Jump to Record High

  The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs reported that chain store sales surged 4.7% last week (2.3% y/y) to the highest level on record. The gain pulled March sales 2.6% above the February average which ticked [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 02 2013

  U.S. Energy Prices Slip Again; Crude Oil Firms

  Drivers are finally realizing some relief when filling up. The pump price for a gallon of regular gasoline fell by 3 cents last week to $3.65 per gallon (-7.5% y/y), continuing the modest decline from the late-February high of $3.78. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief