Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 01 2013

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fall To New Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell sharply to 326,000 (-10.9% y/y) during the week ended July 27 from 345,000 in the prior week, initially reported as 343,000. It was the lowest reading since January 2008. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 31 2013

  FOMC Will Continue to Provide Abundant Liquidity to the Economy

  As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee today left the Federal funds rate in a range from 0 to 1/4 percent. The Fed funds rate has remained unchanged since late-2008 at its lowest level ever. The discount rate was left at [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 31 2013

  U.S. ADP Survey Indicates Steady Improvement in Hiring

  The rate of new job creation remains positive. The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report showed a 200,000 rise (1.8% y/y) in non-farm private sector jobs this month. That followed revised increases of 198,000 and 141,000 during June [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 31 2013

  U.S. GDP Growth Beats Expectations; Price Inflation Is Modest

  Economic momentum built last quarter. The 1.7% (1.4% y/y) advance in real GDP during Q2'13 was its strongest of the last three quarters. It also outpaced consensus expectations for a 1.0% rise. However, the advance was accompanied by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 30 2013

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Slip<

  The price for a gallon of regular gasoline fell to $3.65 last week (3.9% y/y) and reversed most of the prior week's gain. Nevertheless, prices remained near the highest price since March. Haver Analytics constructs seasonal factors to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 30 2013

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Trends Higher

  Consumer confidence remains on an uptrend. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index rose to 81.4 this month following a downwardly revised May reading of 74.3. Consensus expectations had been for 75.2. During the last ten [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 30 2013

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Shows Optimism of Youth

  The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index slipped to 80.3 this month from an upwardly revised 82.1 in June, weighted down by the over-35 crowd. Consensus expectations had been for 81.0. During the last ten years, there has been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 30 2013

  U.S. Case-Shiller Home Price Index Strengthens Further

  Home price improvement remains the strongest since 2006. The seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller 20 City Home Price Index rose 1.0% (12.1% y/y) during May following its unrevised 1.7% April advance. The 3-month annualized rate of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 29 2013

  Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Activity Index Declines

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reported that its General Business Activity Index fell to 4.4 this month from 6.5 during June. The series, nevertheless, remained improved from its spring lows. Monthly deterioration in the index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 29 2013

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Slip

  The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending sales of single-family homes during June edged 0.4% lower (+10.9% y/y) after a downwardly revised 5.8% increase during May. The latest level, nevertheless, remained [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 26 2013

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Improves

  The consumer feels good. The reading from the Reuters/University of Michigan survey of consumer sentiment during all of July rose to 85.1 from 84.1 in June. The full-month number improved from the preliminary figure of 83.8. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 25 2013

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Notch Higher

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose to 343,000 (-5.5% y/y) during the week ended July 20 from a revised 336,000 during the week prior, initially reported as 334,000. The latest figure compared to an expected 337,000 in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief