Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 03 2013

  U.S. ISM Factory Sector Index Continues to Firm

  The Composite Index of Manufacturing Sector Activity from the Institute for Supply Management improved to 55.7 during August from an unrevised 55.4 in July. The figure remained at the highest level since June 2011 and beat [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 30 2013

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Remains Depressed

  Despite a late-month improvement, the Reuters/University of Michigan survey of consumer sentiment during August fell sharply to 82.1 from an unrevised 85.1 in July. The mid-month reading of sentiment was 80.0. The level of sentiment [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 30 2013

  U.S. Personal Income and Spending Moderate; Wage Income Falls

  Personal income in July matched expectations and ticked 0.1% higher (3.3% y/y) following an unrevised 0.3% June rise. May's increase was, however, reduced to 0.3% from 0.4%. Holding back income's increase was a 0.3% decline (+3.4% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 29 2013

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Filings Slip

  Initial unemployment insurance claims edged down to 331,000 (-11.7% y/y) during the week of August 24 from 337,000 in the week prior, initially reported as 336,000. The latest figure nearly matched an expected 332,000 in the Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 29 2013

  U.S. GDP Growth Is Revised Up With Trade and Inventories

  U.S. economic growth of 2.5% last quarter (AR, 1.6% y/y) was more robust than last month's estimated gain of 1.7%. The figure also slightly outpaced the expected 2.3% gain in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The foreign trade and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 28 2013

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Further

  The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending sales of single-family homes during July declined 1.3% m/m but remained up 6.7% versus July of last year. The monthly decline followed an unrevised 0.4% June slip. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 28 2013

  U.S. Mortgage Interest Rates Reach Two-Year High

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that the recent increase in mortgage interest rates gained momentum last week. The 14 basis point w/w increase was the largest in two months. Moreover, the effective interest rate on a 15-year [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 27 2013

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Ticks Up M/M

  The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index ticked up to 81.5 this month from an upwardly revised 81.0 during July, last month reported as 80.3. The level of the confidence index peaked at 82.1 in June. Consensus expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 27 2013

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Remain Unchanged

  The price for a gallon of regular gasoline was unchanged last week at $3.55 last week (-5.9% y/y). Prices remained down from the $3.78 per gallon peak reached late in February. Haver Analytics constructs seasonal factors to account [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 27 2013

  U.S. Case-Shiller Home Price Index Increase Eases Again

  Home price inflation eased further in June. The seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller 20 City Home Price Index rose 0.9% (12.1% y/y) on a seasonally adjusted basis after a 1.0% May gain. It was the third consecutive month of lessened [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 26 2013

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Decline Sharply; Orders Excluding Transportation Slip

  New orders for durable goods slumped 7.3% last month (-0.3% y/y) following a downwardly revised 3.9% increase during June, earlier reported as a 4.2% advance. The decline compared to consensus expectations for a 3.7% drop. Fewer [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 23 2013

  FHFA Home Price Index Builds Upward Momentum

  Strength in the housing market continues to exhibit itself in rising selling prices. The U.S. House Price Index from the Federal Housing and Finance Agency (FHFA) rose 0.7% during May following a 0.5% April rise. The 7.3% y/y rate of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief