Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 25 2014

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Retreats Amongst Individuals Over 55

  Consumer confidence, as measured by the Conference Board, fell to an index reading of 78.1 this month (+14.9% y/y) from January's 79.4, revised down from 80.7. The latest figure fell short of the Action Economics Consensus Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 25 2014

  U.S. Home Price Index from FHFA Strengthens

  The U.S. House Price Index from the Federal Housing and Finance Agency (FHFA) improved by 0.8% during December and lifted prices during all of last year by 7.7%. That was the strongest rise since 2005. During the last twelve months [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 25 2014

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Show Continued Strength

  The price for a gallon of regular gasoline increased to $3.44 (-9.0% y/y) last week, the third consecutive week of increase from the $3.29 low. Nevertheless, prices remained below the $3.78 per gallon peak reached in February of last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 24 2014

  Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Activity Index Deteriorates

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reported that its General Business Activity Index fell to 0.3 (SA) this month from 3.8 during January. It was the lowest level in nine months. Movement in the index components was mixed. The company [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 24 2014

  U.S. Chicago Fed National Activity Index Weakens

  The Chicago Federal Reserve reported that its National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell sharply last month to -0.39 from -0.03 in December, revised from 0.16. The latest level was down from November's high of 0.73. As a result, the three- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 21 2014

  U.S. Existing Home Sales and Prices Weaken

  Sales of existing single-family homes in January declined 5.1% (-5.1% y/y) to 4.620 million (AR) versus an unrevised 4.870 million in December. Sales were down 14.1% versus the July high and fell short of 4.700 million expected in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 20 2014

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Continue to Improve

  The index of Leading Economic Indicators, published by the Conference Board, increased 0.3% (5.0% y/y) in January following no change in December, revised from up 0.1%. A 0.4% rise was expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 20 2014

  Philadelphia Fed Business Conditions Index Is Disappointing

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank reported that its General Business Conditions Index for February fell sharply to -6.3 from 9.4 in January. It was the lowest level in twelve months and remained meaningfully lower than the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 20 2014

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Slip

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance edged down to 336,000 (-8.2% y/y) during the week ended February 15 versus an unrevised 339,000 during the week prior. Expectations had been for 335,000 claims in the Action Economic forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 20 2014

  U.S. Consumer Price Inflation Remains Muted

  Consumer prices nudged 0.1% higher (1.6% y/y) during January following a 0.2% December rise. The increase matched consensus expectations in the Action Economics survey. Consumer prices excluding food and energy also gained 0.1% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 19 2014

  U.S. Energy Prices Move Higher

  The price for a gallon of regular gasoline prices increased to $3.38 (-9.8% y/y) last week but remained down versus the $3.78 per gallon peak reached in February of last year. Haver Analytics constructs seasonal factors to account for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 19 2014

  U.S. Producer Price Index is Revamped; Shows a Pickup in Inflation Pressures

  The Producer Price Index underwent major revision this month. It now includes prices for final demand of goods, services and construction as well as a reading of intermediate demand prices. The overall final demand PPI rose 0.2% in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief