Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jun 17 2014

  U.S. Housing Starts Lose Upward Momentum

  Housing starts during May declined 6.5% to 1.001 million (+8.0% y/y from 1.071 million in April, revised from 1.072 million. The latest figure fell short of expectations for 1.028 million starts in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 17 2014

  U.S. Consumer Price Index Reflects Broad-Based Strength

  Consumer prices increased 0.4% (2.1% y/y) in May, the largest increase since February 2013. The reading easily beat consensus expectations for a 0.2% rise in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Consumer prices excluding food and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 16 2014

  U.S. Industrial Output Records Strong Increase

  Industrial output in the U.S. increased 0.6% last month (4.3% y/y) following a 0.3% April decline, revised from -0.6%. A 0.5% gain in total production was expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Production in the factory [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 16 2014

  U.S. Home Builders Index Recovers to Five-Month High

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo improved to 49 this month from an unrevised from 45 in May. The latest figure was the highest since January and beat consensus expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 16 2014

  Empire State Factory Sector Index Garners Additional Strength

  The Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions improved during June to 19.28 from 19.01 in May. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that it was the highest level since June 2010 and beat expectations for a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 13 2014

  U.S. Wholesale Prices Post Broad-Based Declines

  The overall final demand Producer Price Index declined 0.2% (+2.0% y/y) during May following an unrevised 0.6% April increase. It was the first decline since February and compared to expectations for a 0.1% gain in the Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 12 2014

  U.S. Retail Sales Post Uneven Increases

  Retail and food service sales gained 0.3% during May following a 0.5% April advance, revised from 0.1%. A 0.5% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Sales of motor vehicles & parts increased 1.4% (10.4% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 12 2014

  U.S. Business Inventory Increase Again Paced by Wholesale

  Total business inventories increased 0.6% in April (5.0% y/y) after a 0.4% rise during March. It was the firmest monthly increase in six months. Merchant wholesale inventories jumped another 1.1% (6.7% y/y). Inventories in the factory [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 12 2014

  U.S. Import and Export Prices Tick Higher

  Import prices nudged up 0.1% during May (0.4% y/y) following a 0.5% April decline, last month reported as -0.4%. A 0.2% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. A 1.1% rise (3.0% y/y) in petroleum prices [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 12 2014

  U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Recover to Three-Week High

  The rate of labor market improvement is evening out. Initial claims for jobless insurance increased to 317,000 during the week ended June 7 from 313,000 in the prior week, revised up from 312,000. A 315,000 level of claims was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 12 2014

  U.S. Retail Sales Post Uneven Increases

  The improved labor market is spurring more consumer purchases. Retail and food service sales gained 0.3% during May following a 0.5% April advance, revised from 0.1%. A 0.5% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 11 2014

  U.S. Budget Deficit Continues to Shrink

  The Federal Government posted a $130.0 billion budget deficit during May of FY 2014. The latest figure compared to expectations for a $143.9 billion deficit in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. In the first eight months of this [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief