Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 01 2014

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Back Off A Bit

  According to the Autodata Corporation, sales of light vehicles declined 2.5% during July to 16.48 million units (SAAR). Sales still were 4.6% higher y/y. Moreover, sales were 2.7% higher versus December and up 82.2% since the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2014

  U.S. ISM Index Improves Further; Prices Also Rise

  The Composite Index of Manufacturing Sector Activity from the Institute for Supply Management increased to 57.1 during July versus an unrevised 55.3 in June. The reading was the highest since April 2011 and exceeded consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2014

  U.S. Payrolls Rise 209,000; Jobless Rate Backs Up

  The rate of job market improvement toned down a bit last month. Nonfarm payrolls increased 209,000 during July following upwardly-revised gains of 298,000 and 229,000 during the prior two months. The increase fell short of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2014

  U.S. Payrolls Rise 209,000; Jobless Rate Backs Up

  The rate of job market improvement toned down a bit last month. Nonfarm payrolls increased 209,000 during July following upwardly-revised gains of 298,000 and 229,000 during the prior two months. The increase fell short of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 31 2014

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Recoup Earlier Decline

  Initial unemployment insurance claims rebounded to 302,000 (-9.3% y/y) during the week ended July 26 from 279,000 in the week prior, earlier reported as 284,000. The four-week moving average of initial claims, nevertheless, fell to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 31 2014

  U.S. Employment Cost Index Jumps in Q2

  The employment cost index for private industry workers surged 0.8% (2.1% y/y) in Q2'14, following an unrevised 0.3% rise in Q1. The increase was the largest since Q4 2007 and surpassed expectations for a 0.5% rise in the Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 30 2014

  FOMC Sees Economic Rebound; Pares Back Bond Purchases Further

  At today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed indicated that the economy, consumer spending, business investment and job creation each had improved. It continued to note, however, significant labor market [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 30 2014

  U.S. ADP Employment Increase Throttles Back

  Employment growth eased last month. The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report indicated a 218,000 rise (2.2% y/y) in July nonfarm private sector jobs. It followed an unrevised June increase of 281,000. During the last three months, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 30 2014

  U.S. GDP Recovery is Surprisingly Brisk

  The economic recovery returned to a firm footing last quarter. The advance GDP estimate indicated a 4.0% rate of growth during Q2. The gain follows a 2.1% Q1 decline, revised from -2.9% and depressed by weather, inventory & foreign [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 29 2014

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Improves to Highest Level Since October 2007

  The Conference Board reported that their reading of consumer confidence improved 5.2% this month (12.2% y/y) to 90.9 from 86.4 in June, revised from 85.2. The latest figure beat expectations for 85.5 in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 29 2014

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Improves to Highest Level Since October 2007

  The Conference Board reported that their reading of consumer confidence improved 5.2% this month (12.2% y/y) to 90.9 from 86.4 in June, revised from 85.2. The latest figure beat expectations for 85.5 in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 29 2014

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Hold On To Earlier Gains

  The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs reported that chain store sales nudged 0.2% higher last week (4.6% y/y). So far in July sales have risen 3.5% from the June average which slipped 0.2% from May. During [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief