Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 13 2015

  U.S. Gasoline Price Accompanies Crude Oil Still Lower

  Petroleum prices can't find support. Average gasoline prices declined 7 cents in the week ended January 12 to $2.14 per gallon. Prices have fallen more than one-third during the last year and by nearly one-half since their June high [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 12 2015

  U.S. Wholesale Inventories Jump As Sales Decline

  Inventories at the wholesale level during November jumped 0.8% following a 0.6% October rise, earlier reported as 0.4%. Durable goods inventories led the gain with a 0.8% increase (7.1% y/y). It reflected a 2.6% rise (15.1% y/y) in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 09 2015

  U.S. Payroll Employment Growth Improves in 2014; Unemployment Rate Falls to 2008 Low

  The job market remains firm. Nonfarm payroll jobs grew 2.527 million (1.9%) last year, the strongest increase since 2000. Moreover, the 252,000 rise during December (2.1% y/y) followed upwardly revised gains of 353,000 and 261,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 09 2015

  U.S. Payroll Employment Growth Improves in 2014; Unemployment Rate Falls to 2008 Low

  The job market remains firm. Nonfarm payroll jobs grew 2.527 million (1.9%) last year, the strongest increase since 2000. Moreover, the 252,000 rise during December (2.1% y/y) followed upwardly revised gains of 353,000 and 261,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 08 2015

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Continues Moderately

  Consumer credit outstanding increased $14.1 billion during November following an upwardly revised $16.0 billion October rise, initially reported as $13.2 billion. Expectations were for a $15.0 billion increase, according to the Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 08 2015

  Challenger Job Cut Announcements Slip

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements fell to 32,640 (+6.6% y/y) during December from 35,940 in November. It was the lowest layoff level in three months. For all of 2014, layoffs [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 08 2015

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Fall Back

  Initial unemployment insurance claims during the week ended January 3 fell to 294,000 (-11.7% y/y) after rising to an unrevised 298,000 in the prior week. The four-week moving average of initial claims was fairly steady at 290,500. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 07 2015

  U.S. Trade Deficit Narrows Sharply With Fewer Imports

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit in goods and services narrowed to $39.0 billion in November from $42.2 billion in October, revised from $43.4 billion. It was the smallest deficit since December 2013 and compared to $41.9 billion [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 07 2015

  U.S. ADP Employment Growth is Steady and Firm

  The labor market turned in another respectable performance last year, according to the ADP/Moody's National Employment Report. Private sector payroll employment grew 2.1% in 2014 and annual increases have ranged between 1.8% and 2.3% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2015

  U.S. Factory Sector Orders Remain Depressed; Order Backlogs Gain

  New orders to all manufacturers fell 0.7% (-1.0% y/y) during November following an unrevised 0.7% easing in October. The decline was the fourth consecutive drop and roughly matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2015

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Reaches Nine-Year High in 2014 but Moves Lower at Yearend

  Nonmanufacturing activity posted solid performance in 2014, as measured by the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) composite nonmanufacturing index. It rose to 56.3 last year from 54.7 in 2013 and was at its highest point since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2015

  U.S. Energy Prices Continue Broad-Based Decline

  Energy prices remained under pressure last week as they have since last Spring. Average gasoline prices declined another 9 cents in the week ended January 5 to $2.21 a gallon. Prices have fallen by one-third during the last year and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief