Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 06 2016

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Strengthen

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Market Volume Index jumped 14.2% last week (51.4% y/y) to the highest level since June 2013. Purchase applications increased 4.3% (10.5% y/y) while refinancing [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 06 2016

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Ease as Natural Gas Costs Increase Again

  Regular gasoline prices fell to $2.29 per gallon last week (-18.0% y/y), down from $2.40 early last month, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. Nevertheless, prices remained near the highest level since early September. Prices [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 06 2016

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Unexpectedly Jumps to Seven-Month High

  The Composite Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Business Activity from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) strengthened to 56.5 during June versus an unrevised 52.9 in May. It was the highest level since November. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 06 2016

  U.S. Trade Deficit Deepens as Exports Ease and Imports Jump

  The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services widened to $41.1 billion in May from an unrevised $37.4 billion in April. The Action Economics Forecast Survey had expected a $40.0 billion deficit. The latest figure was the deepest in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 05 2016

  U.S. Factory Orders Backpedal in May

  New orders to manufacturers declined 1.0% (-0.2% y/y) during May following a little-revised 1.8% April gain. A 0.9% decline had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Durable goods orders fell 2.3%, which was roughly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 01 2016

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Ease

  Total sales of light vehicles during June declined 4.5% versus May (-2.0% y/y) to 16.66 million units (SAAR), the lowest level in three months. Auto sales fell 5.0% to 6.76 million units (-11.2% y/y). The decline reflected a 4.1% fall [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 01 2016

  U.S. Construction Activity Declines Again

  The value of construction put-in-place declined 0.8% (+2.8% y/y) during May following a 2.0% April drop, revised from -1.8%. A 0.7% increase was expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Data back to 2014 were revised. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 01 2016

  ISM Manufacturing Index Strengthens to 16-Month High

  Factory sector activity continues to firm following last year's weakness. The ISM Composite Index of manufacturing activity increased to 53.2 during June following an unrevised May gain to 51.3. The latest level was the highest since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2016

  Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Recovers Sharply

  Chicago purchasing managers reported that their Business Barometer surged to 56.8 this month following a May decline to 49.3. The figure was at the highest level since January 2015, and exceeded expectations for 50.4 in the Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2016

  Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Recovers Sharply

  Chicago purchasing managers reported that their Business Barometer surged to 56.8 this month following a May decline to 49.3. The figure was at the highest level since January 2015, and exceeded expectations for 50.4 in the Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2016

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Rise

  Initial jobless insurance claims increased to 268,000 (-4.3% y/y) during the week ended June 25 from 258,000 in the prior week, revised from 259,000. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 270,000 claims. The four-week moving [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2016

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Decline

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Market Volume Index declined 2.6% last week (+38.7% y/y) and reversed the prior week's rise. Purchase applications fell 3.0% (+12.9% y/y) while refinancing applications [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief