Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 13 2016

  U.S. Import Price Increase Driven by Oil Costs; Nonoil Prices Ease

  Import prices rose 0.2% (-4.8% y/y) during June following a 1.4% surge in May. It was the smallest increase since a decline in February and fell short of expectations for a 0.5% rise in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 12 2016

  U.S. Wholesale Inventories Tick Higher; Sales Firm

  Inventories at the wholesale level notched 0.1% higher during May following a 0.7% April increase, revised from 0.6%. Nondurable goods sector inventories rose 0.2% (4.9% y/y) after a 1.6% jump. Farm-product inventories were strong [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 12 2016

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Backpedals, But Hires Rate Is Steady

  The job openings rate declined to 3.7% during May from the record high of 3.9%. The private sector job openings rate fell to 3.9% from 4.2%. This rate compared to 2.4% in the public sector. The 4.8% rate in professional & business [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 12 2016

  U.S. Energy Prices Fall

  Regular gasoline prices fell to $2.25 per gallon last week (-20.5% y/y), down from $2.40 early last month, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. Nevertheless, prices remained near the highest level since early September. Prices [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 12 2016

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Improves

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.7% during June to 94.5 following an unrevised 0.2% May rise. An improved -9% of firms were expecting the economy to improve, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 11 2016

  U.S. Labor Market Conditions Index Remains Negative

  The Labor Market Conditions Index from the Federal Reserve Board includes 19 indicators of labor market activity, covering the broad categories of unemployment and underemployment. These include jobs, workweeks, wages, vacancies, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 08 2016

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Remains Firm

  Consumer credit outstanding increased $18.6 billion during May following an unrevised $13.4 billion April gain. A $15.2 billion increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. During the last ten years, there has [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 08 2016

  U.S. Payroll Gain Bounces Back

  Nonfarm payrolls grew 287,000 during June, a figure boosted as roughly 35,000 Verizon workers returned from strike. Employment increased 11,000 in May, revised from 38,000 and April's gain was revised to 144,000 from 123,000. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 08 2016

  U.S. Payroll Gain Bounces Back

  Nonfarm payrolls grew 287,000 during June, a figure boosted as roughly 35,000 Verizon workers returned from strike. Employment increased 11,000 in May, revised from 38,000 and April's gain was revised to 144,000 from 123,000. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 07 2016

  Challenger Survey Reports Slight Rise in Job Cuts

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during June rose to 38,536 (-14.1% y/y) following May's sharp decline to 30,157. Layoffs increased in the aerospace/defense, automotive, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 07 2016

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Approach April Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance claims declined 16,000 to 254,000 (-12.0% y/y) during the week ended July 2 from 270,000 in the prior week, revised from 268,000. It was the lowest level since mid-April. The Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 07 2016

  U.S. ADP Private Payrolls Increase Moderately

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report indicated that nonfarm private sector payrolls rose 172,000 during June following a 168,000 May increase, revised from 173,000. During all of last quarter, payrolls rose an average 163,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief