Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 15 2016

  U.S. Home Builders Index Jumps to 2005 High

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo surged to 70 during December (16.7% y/y) following unrevised stability at 63 in November. It was the highest level since July 2005. The NAHB [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 15 2016

  U.S. Unemployment Insurance Claims Ease

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell to 254,000 (-7.6% y/y) in the week ended December 10 following an unrevised decline to 258,000 in the prior week. Expectations had been for 255,000 claims in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 15 2016

  U.S. CPI Increase Slowed Last Month; Core Pricing Picked Up

  The consumer price index increased 0.2% (1.7% y/y) during November following an unrevised 0.4% October rise. The gain matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Prices excluding food & energy gained 0.2% (2.1% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 15 2016

  U.S. CPI Increase Slowed Last Month; Core Pricing Picked Up

  The consumer price index increased 0.2% (1.7% y/y) during November following an unrevised 0.4% October rise. The gain matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Prices excluding food & energy gained 0.2% (2.1% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2016

  FOMC Increases Rates As Economy Strengthens

  At today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the targeted fed funds rate was raised to between 0.50% and 0.75%, from 0.25% to 0.50%. It was the highest target since the end of 2008. The FOMC indicated that an improved [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2016

  U.S. Business Inventories Fall While Sales Improve

  Total business inventories declined 0.2% during October (+0.4% y/y) following no change in September, revised from a 0.1% increase. New data in this report showed that retail inventories declined 0.4% (+3.3% y/y) following no change. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2016

  U.S. Industrial Production Declines; Factory Output Eases

  Industrial output declined 0.4% during November (-0.6% y/y) following a 0.1% October uptick, revised from no change. The latest reading disappointed expectations for a 0.2% decline in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Factory [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2016

  U.S. Retail Sales Increase Minimally

  Consumers grew cautious ahead of the holiday spending season. Total retail sales & spending at restaurants nudged 0.1% higher (3.8% y/y) during November following a 0.6% October rise, revised from 0.8%. A 0.4% increase had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 13 2016

  U.S. Crude Oil & Natural Gas Prices Surge

  WTI crude oil prices jumped to $50.96 per barrel (38.0% y/y) last week, the highest level since July of last year. Yesterday, prices strengthened further to $52.83 per barrel. Brent crude oil prices increased to $53.92 per barrel last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 13 2016

  U.S. Import Prices Ease as Oil Prices Decline

  Import prices slipped 0.3% during November (-0.1% y/y) following a 0.4% October increase, revised from 0.5%. A 0.4% decline had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These figures are not seasonally adjusted. A 4.7% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 13 2016

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Nears Two-Year High

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Small Business Optimism Index jumped 3.7% during November (4.1% y/y) to 98.4. It was the strongest level of optimism since December 2014. A strengthened 12% of firms [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 12 2016

  U.S. Runs a $136.7 billion Budget Deficit in November

  The U.S. Treasury Department reported that during November, the federal government ran a budget deficit of $136.7 billion. A $125.0 billion deficit had expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. So far in FY'17, the federal [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief