Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 10 2017

  U.S. Payrolls Increase 235,000; Earnings Rise 0.2%

  Nonfarm payrolls increased 235,000 (1.7% y/y) during February. The gain followed a 238,000 January rise and a 155,000 December increase. These figures together were revised up by 9,000. Expectations had been for a 196,000 increase in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2017

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Applications Increase

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose to 243,000 during the week ended March 4 from an unrevised 223,000 claims in the week prior. The latest level remained near the lowest since April 1973. Expectations had been for 237,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2017

  U.S. Import & Export Prices Strengthen; Petroleum Prices Ease

  Import prices edged 0.2% higher (4.6% y/y) during February following a 0.6% January increase, revised from 0.4%. A 0.1% uptick had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These figures are not seasonally adjusted. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2017

  Wholesale Sales & Inventories Decline

  Inventories at the wholesale level fell 0.2% (+2.4% y/y) during January following an unrevised 1.0% December jump. The advance report issued last week also indicated a 0.2% January decline. Inventories of durable goods eased 0.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2017

  U.S. Productivity Increase Slows; Unit Labor Costs Accelerate

  Growth in nonfarm output per hour during Q4'16 increased at an unrevised 1.3% rate (1.0% y/y) following a 3.3% Q3 rise, revised from 3.5%. A 1.5% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These latest two [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2017

  U.S. ADP Private Payroll Gain Is Strongest Since 2014

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report indicated that private nonfarm payroll employment increased 298,000 (1.9% y/y) during February, the largest rise since April 2014. It followed a 261,000 January gain, revised from 246,000, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2017

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Slows

  Consumer credit outstanding increased $8.8 billion (6.3% y/y) during January following a $14.7 billion December increase, earlier reported as $14.2 bil. An $18.0 billion increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2017

  U.S. Energy Prices Are Fairly Stable W/W

  Regular gasoline prices of $2.34 per gallon (27.2% y/y) last week compared to $2.31 per gallon during the prior week. Prices remained lower than the 2014 high of $3.71 per gallon. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2017

  U.S. Trade Deficit Increase Is Led by Oil Imports

  The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services widened during January to the largest level since March 2012. The increase to a $48.5 billion deficit from $44.3 billion in December was led by a broad-based 2.3% increase in imports; [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 06 2017

  U.S. Factory Orders Reflect Durables Strength

  Manufacturing sector orders increased 1.2% (5.5% y/y) during January following an unrevised 1.3% December rise. Durable goods orders increased 2.0% (1.6% y/y). Transportation sector orders rebounded 6.2% (-4.2% y/y) with a two-thirds [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 03 2017

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Strengthens; Pricing Power Eases

  The Composite Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Activity from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) increased to 57.6 in February from 56.5 during January. February's reading continued as the highest level since October 2015. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 02 2017

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Fall to 1973 Low

  Initial unemployment insurance claims declined to 223,000 during the week ended February 25 from 242,000 claims in the week prior, revised from 244,000. The latest level was the lowest since March 1973. Expectations had been for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief