Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 18 2017

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Rebound As Interest Rates Increase

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index rebounded 3.6% (-18.2% y/y) last week, but so far this month was down 3.1% from September. Purchase applications increased 4.2% (8.9% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 18 2017

  U.S. Housing Starts Weaken to 12-Month Low

  Total housing starts declined 4.7% (+6.1% y/y) during September to 1.127 million units from 1.183 million in August, revised from 1.180 million units. It was the lowest level since September 2016. Starts of 1.183 million had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2017

  U.S. Energy Prices Are Little Changed

  Retail gasoline prices eased last week to $2.49 per gallon (+10.3% y/y) versus $2.50 one week prior and remained lower than the $2.69 high early last month. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2017

  U.S. Home Builder Index Improves

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo increased 6.3% to 68 during October and reversed its September decline. As a result of this month's increase, the index was at the highest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2017

  U.S. Industrial Production Rebounds Following Hurricanes

  The Federal Reserve indicated that industrial production recovered 0.3% (1.6% y/y) during September following a 0.7% August decline, last month estimated as -0.9%. The Fed indicated that storm damage reduced September's increase in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 17 2017

  Import and Export Prices Post Firm Gains

  Import prices increased 0.7% during September (2.7% y/y) following an unrevised 0.6% August increase. The September increase compared to a 0.6% rise expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These figures are not seasonally [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2017

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Move Higher

  The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) increased 1.7% during the last four weeks and gained 14.3% during the last twelve months. During all of last year, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2017

  Empire State Factory Sector Index Strengthens

  The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions for October rose to 30.2 following its slip to 24.4 during September. The latest level was the highest since September 2014 and continued to indicate expansion in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2017

  U.S. CPI Gain Led by Higher Energy Prices; Core Prices Tick Higher

  The Consumer Price index increased 0.5% (2.2% y/y) during September following a 0.4% August gain. It was the strongest increase since January and compared to expectations for a 0.6% rise in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 13 2017

  U.S. Retail Sales Strengthen

  Total retail sales and spending at restaurants increased 1.6% (4.1% y/y) during September. That followed a 0.1% August dip and a 0.5% July rise, both of which were revised up slightly versus last month's report. A 1.5% increase had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 12 2017

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Fall Further

  Initial unemployment insurance applications fell to 243,000 during the week ended October 7 following a decline to 258,000 in the prior week, revised from 260,000. It was the lowest level of claims since late August. Expectations had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 12 2017

  U.S. Producer Prices Strengthen

  The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index using new methodology increased 0.4% during September (2.6% y/y) after a 0.2% August gain. It was the strongest increase since April. A 0.4% rise had been expected in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief