Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 01 2017

  ISM Factory Sector Index Slips from Its 13-Year High

  Activity in the manufacturing sector remained strong last month, but edged down from its September high. The ISM manufacturing sector composite index fell to 58.7 during October from September's unrevised reading of 60.8. It was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 01 2017

  U.S. ADP Private Payroll Growth Bounces Back

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report indicated that private nonfarm payrolls increased 235,000 (2.1% y/y) during October. Depressed by Hurricanes Harvey & Irma, September's 110,000 gain was revised from 135,000. A 200,000 rise [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 31 2017

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Improve; Crude Oil Strengthens

  Retail gasoline prices rose a penny last week to $2.49 per gallon (11.6% y/y), but remained lower than the $2.69 high early last month. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump prices. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 31 2017

  Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Improves

  The Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer for October rose to 66.2 from 65.2 in September. It was the highest level since March 2011. A decline to 62.0 had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Based on these [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 31 2017

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Is Surprisingly Strong

  The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index surged 4.4% during October (24.9% y/y) to 125.9 following a 0.2% September rise, revised from -0.5%. The index was at its highest level since December 2000. The Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 31 2017

  U.S. Employment Cost Index Strengthens

  The employment cost index for civilian workers rose 0.7% (2.5% y/y) during Q3'17, up from a 0.5% increase in Q2'17. A 0.6% rise had been expected in the Action Economics Survey. Wages and salaries also increased 0.7% (2.5% y/y) after [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 30 2017

  Texas Factory Sector Growth Continues to Improve

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas indicated in its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey that the October General Business Activity Index rose to 27.6 from 21.3 in September. The index was at the highest point since March 2006. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 30 2017

  U.S. Personal Income & Spending Strengthen

  Personal income increased 0.4% (3.0% y/y) during September following an unrevised 0.2% August rise. It was the largest income gain since February and matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The Commerce [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 27 2017

  U.S. GDP Growth Remains Firm in Q3, Despite Storm Effects

  Economic growth of 3.0% (2.3% y/y) during Q3'17 roughly matched growth during Q2. Together, these were the firmest quarters since the middle of 2014. The latest figure surpassed expectations for a 2.6% rise in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 27 2017

  U.S. GDP Growth Remains Firm in Q3, Despite Storm Effects

  Economic growth of 3.0% (2.3% y/y) during Q3'17 roughly matched growth during Q2. Together, these were the firmest quarters since the middle of 2014. The latest figure surpassed expectations for a 2.6% rise in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 27 2017

  U.S. GDP Growth Remains Firm in Q3, Despite Storm Effects

  Economic growth of 3.0% (2.3% y/y) during Q3'17 roughly matched growth during Q2. Together, these were the firmest quarters since the middle of 2014. The latest figure surpassed expectations for a 2.6% rise in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 26 2017

  Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Strengthens

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City reported that its index of regional manufacturing sector business activity jumped to 23 in October following an unrevised uptick to 17 during September. The figure was at the highest level since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief