Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 26 2018

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decline Sharply

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell sharply to 209,000 (-17.1% y/y) from a revised 233,000 in the prior week, initially reported as 232,000. Expectations had been for 231,000 initial claims in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 25 2018

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Are Little Changed; Rates Remain High

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index eased 0.2% last week (-1.9% y/y), following a 4.9% increase during the prior week. Purchase loan applications were unchanged (+11.2% y/y), [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 24 2018

  U.S. New Home Sales and Prices Strengthen

  Sales of new single-family homes during March increased 4.0% (8.8% y/y) to 694,000 (SAAR) following a 3.6% February gain to 667,000, revised from 618,000. Expectations had been for 620,000 sales in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 24 2018

  U.S. FHFA House Price Index Continues to Strengthen

  The Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) index of U.S. house prices rose 0.6% during February following January's 0.9% advance, revised from 0.8%. The 7.2% y/y rate of increase was nearly the quickest since 2013, up from 5.2% in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 24 2018

  U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further

  Retail gasoline prices increased to $2.80 per gallon last week (14.3% y/y) following the prior week's six cent increase to $2.75 per gallon. It was the highest price level since July 2015. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 23 2018

  U.S. Existing Home Sales & Prices Rise Again

  The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing homes increased 1.1% during March (-1.2% y/y) to 5.600 million units (AR) following an unrevised 3.0% February gain to 5.540 million units. Expectations had been for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 20 2018

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Strengthen Selectively

  The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) increased 0.4% during the last four weeks. The improvement was powered by just two sectors, metals & petroleum. During [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 19 2018

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Signal Continued Expansion

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators increased 0.3% during March following a 0.7% February gain, revised from 0.6%. The y/y change strengthened to 6.2% from 4.1% during all of last year. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 19 2018

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Are Little Changed

  Initial unemployment insurance claims slipped to 232,000 (-6.1% y/y) during the week ended April 14 from an unrevised 233,000 in the prior week. Expectations had been for 230,000 initial claims in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 18 2018

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Rebound; Interest Rates Steady

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index increased 4.9% last week (1.0% y/y), following a 1.9% decline during the prior week. Purchase loan applications increased 6.1% (10.1% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 17 2018

  U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices Strengthen

  Retail gasoline prices rebounded to $2.75 per gallon last week (12.8% y/y) following the prior week's one penny drop to $2.69. It was the highest price level since late-July 2015. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 17 2018

  U.S. Industrial Production Strengthens; Factory Output Ticks Higher

  The Federal Reserve reported that industrial production increased 0.5% (4.3% y/y) during March following a 1.0% February rise, revised from 1.1%. A 0.4% rise had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Factory sector [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief