Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 17 2018

  U.S. Housing Starts and Building Permits Recover

  Total housing starts in March increased 1.9% to 1.319 million units (SAAR) following February's 3.3% decline to 1.295 million, revised from 1.236 million. A level of 1.260 million starts had been expected in the Action Economic [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 16 2018

  Empire State Manufacturing Index Weakens

  The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions declined to 15.8 during April after jumping to 22.5 in March. Expectations had been for 18.6 in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These data, reported by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 16 2018

  U.S. Home Builder Index Eases Again

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo slipped to 69 during April from an unrevised 70 in March. It was the lowest figure since November. The reading compared to expectations for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 16 2018

  U.S. Retail Sales Strengthen

  Total retail sales increased 0.6% (4.5% y/y) during March following an unrevised 0.1% slip in February. The gain was the first in four months. A 0.4% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Excluding motor [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 13 2018

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings, Hires and Layoffs Ease

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate declined to 3.9% in February. January's 4.0% rate was revised down from the record 4.1% reported last month. (The job openings rate is the job openings level as [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 12 2018

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decline

  Initial claims for jobless insurance fell to 233,000 (-1.3% y/y) during the week ended April 7 from an unrevised 242,000 in the prior week. Expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey had been for 230,000 claims. The four- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 12 2018

  U.S. Import Prices Are Unchanged; Export Prices Rise

  Import prices held steady (3.6% y/y) during March following a 0.3% February increase, revised from 0.4%. A 0.2% rise had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These figures are not seasonally adjusted. Petroleum [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 11 2018

  U.S. Government Budget Deficit Increases

  The U.S. Treasury Department reported that the federal government ran a $208.7 billion budget deficit during March 2018. A deficit of $187.0 billion had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. During the first six [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 11 2018

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Fall; Financing Rates Steady

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index declined 1.9% last week (-5.5% y/y), following a 3.3% fall during the prior week. Purchase loan applications were off 2.0% (+0.2% y/y), about [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 11 2018

  U.S. CPI Slips; Core Prices Remain Firm

  Consumer prices eased 0.1% (+2.4% y/y) during March following a 0.2% February increase. It was the first decline in the CPI since May 2017. No change was expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The CPI excluding food & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 10 2018

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Ease; Crude Oil Declines

  Retail gasoline prices slipped to $2.69 per gallon last week (+11.1% y/y) following the prior week's five cent jump. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump prices. The seasonally- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 10 2018

  U.S. Producer Price Gains Accelerate

  The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index using new methodology increased 0.3% in March following a 0.2% rise in February. Twelve-month growth rose to 3.0%. A 0.2% March rise had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief