Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 22 2018

  U.S. Energy Prices Continue to Rise

  U.S. Energy Prices Continue to Rise by Tom Moeller May yesterday (21.8% y/y) from $2.87 per gallon during the prior week. It was the highest price level since November 2014. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 22 2018

  Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Strengthens to Four-Year High

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Nonmanufacturing Business Index of current conditions at the company level increased to 39.5 in May as it improved to the highest level since 2015. Fifty-two percent of respondents reported [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 22 2018

  U.S. Energy Prices Continue to Rise

  Strong demand continues to help power prices higher for energy products. Retail gasoline prices rose to $2.92 per gallon yesterday (21.8% y/y) from $2.87 per gallon during the prior week. It was the highest price level since November [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 21 2018

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Are Mixed

  The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) increased 0.5% during the last four weeks and 9.4% during the last year. Industrial materials prices overall rose by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 18 2018

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Decline

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index fell 2.7% (-5.6% y/y) last week, following a 0.4% slip during the prior week. Purchase loan applications declined 2.1% (+3.6% y/y), after [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 17 2018

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Post Another Firm Increase

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators increased 0.4% last month, the same as during March which was revised from 0.3%. The y/y change strengthened to 6.4% from 4.1% during all of last year. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 17 2018

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Remain Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance edged slightly higher last week to 222,000 (-6.7% y/y) in the week ended May 12 versus an unrevised 211,000 in the prior week. Claims were expected to rise to 215,000 in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 16 2018

  U.S. Industrial Production Steadily Increases

  The Federal Reserve reported that industrial production increased 0.7% (3.5% y/y) during April following a 0.7% March rise, revised from 0.5%. A 0.5% rise had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Factory sector [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 16 2018

  U.S. Housing Starts and Building Permits Decline

  Total housing starts in April fell 3.7% (+10.5% y/y) to 1.287 million (SAAR) from 1.336 million during March, revised from 1.319 million. A level of 1.318 million starts had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 15 2018

  Empire State Manufacturing Index Improves

  The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions rose to 20.1 during May and made up most of its April decline. Expectations had been for 15.0 in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These data, reported by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 15 2018

  U.S. Home Builder Index Recovers

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo increased 2.9% (1.4% y/y) to 70 during May following an April decline to 68. The latest reading compared to expectations for 69 in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 15 2018

  U.S. Retail Sales Rise Moderately

  Total retail sales increased 0.3% (4.7% y/y) during April following a 0.8% March gain, revised from 0.6%. The rise matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Excluding motor vehicles and parts, retail sales improved [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief