Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 22 2018

  U.S. Existing Home Sales and Prices Ease

  The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing homes during July moved 0.7% lower (-1.5% y/y) to 5.340 million (AR), following an unrevised 5.380 million during June. It was the fourth consecutive month of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 22 2018

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Recover

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Index increased 4.2% last week (-16.1% y/y) following five consecutive weeks of decline. The effective interest rate on a 15-year mortgage was little- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 21 2018

  Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Index Strengthens

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported that its Nonmanufacturing Business Index of current conditions at the company level increased to 41.1 during August, the highest reading since June 2015. A slightly lessened 51 percent [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 21 2018

  U.S. Retail Gasoline Prices Decline

  Retail gasoline prices fell to $2.82 per gallon last week from $2.84 during the prior week. Despite recent declines, prices remained up 19.5% y/y. Haver Analytics constructs factors to adjust for the marked seasonal variation in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 20 2018

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Move Lower

  The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) fell 3.7% last month and extended the retreat in prices since the peak two months ago. The decline left the index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 17 2018

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Continue to Strengthen

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators increased 0.6% (6.3% y/y) during July. The improvement followed an unrevised 0.5% June gain and an upwardly revised 0.1% uptick. A 0.4% increase had been expected [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 17 2018

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Continue To Strengthen

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators increased 0.6% (6.3% y/y) during July. The improvement followed an unrevised 0.5% June gain and an upwardly revised 0.1% uptick. A 0.4% increase had been expected [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 16 2018

  Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions & Prices Soften

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index declined sharply to 11.9 during August following a July increase to 25.7. It was the weakest reading since November 2016. The decline [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 16 2018

  U.S. Housing Starts Improvement Is Disappointing

  Start-up activity in the housing market remained under pressure during July. Total housing starts rose 0.9% last month (-1.4% y/y) to 1.168 million (SAAR). That followed a 12.9% decline in June to 1.158 million, revised from 1.173 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 15 2018

  TT

  The Federal Reserve reported that industrial production increased 0.6% (3.8% y/y) during June following a 0.5% May decline............ Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress by Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome H. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 15 2018

  U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Slows

  Total business inventories increased 0.1% (4.0% y/y) during June following two months of 0.3% increase. Total business sales increased 0.3% (8.2% y/y), following a 1.3% gain. The inventory-to-sales ratio rose to 1.35 from 1.34. It [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 15 2018

  Empire State Manufacturing Index Continues to Improve

  The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions increased to 25.6 in August, its highest level since October. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected a reading of 20.0. These data, reported by the Federal [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief