Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 09 2019

  U.S. Producer Price Increase Moderates; Core Prices Are Tame

  The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.2% during April (2.2% y/y) following a 0.6% March surge. The gain matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Producer prices excluding food & energy edged 0.1% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 08 2019

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Rise as Financing Rates Steady

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Index gained 2.7% (8.0% y/y) during the week ending May 3. It was the first increase in five weeks. Applications to purchase a home rose 4.2% (4.9% y/y), [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 07 2019

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Weakens

  Consumer credit outstanding increased $10.27 billion (5.0% y/y) during March, less than the $15.47 billion February addition, revised from $15.18 billion. It was the smallest rise in nine months and lessened three-month growth to 4.4% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 07 2019

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Increase While Hiring Stabilizes

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate rebounded to 4.7% during March after declining sharply to 4.5% in February. The job openings rate is the job openings level as a percent of total employment plus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 07 2019

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Rise While Crude Oil Costs Ease

  Retail gasoline prices improved by one penny last week to $2.90 per gallon (1.8% y/y) after rising five cents during the prior week. It was the highest level since early-October and roughly matched the 2018 high. Haver Analytics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 06 2019

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Weaken

  The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) fell 1.3% during the last four weeks and was 11.6% below the prior year's level. Declines y/y were notable for metals [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 03 2019

  U.S. Payroll Gains Are Unexpectedly Strong; Jobless Rate Falls to 1969 Low

  The labor market remained robust during April. Nonfarm payrolls increased 263,000 (1.8% y/y) following a 189,000 March gain, revised from 196,000. February's rise was revised higher to 56,000. The April increase exceeded expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 03 2019

  U.S. Payroll Gains Are Unexpectedly Strong; Jobless Rate Falls to 1969 Low

  The labor market remained robust during April. Nonfarm payrolls increased 263,000 (1.8% y/y) following a 189,000 March gain, revised from 196,000. February's rise was revised higher to 56,000. The April increase exceeded expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 03 2019

  U.S. Payroll Gains Are Unexpectedly Strong; Jobless Rate Falls to 1969 Low

  The labor market remained robust during April. Nonfarm payrolls increased 263,000 (1.8% y/y) following a 189,000 March gain, revised from 196,000. February's rise was revised higher to 56,000. The April increase exceeded expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 02 2019

  U.S. Factory Orders Rise as Durables Strengthen

  Manufacturers' orders surged 1.9% (2.0% y/y) during March following a 0.3% February decline, revised from -0.5%. A 1.3% rise had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Orders for durable goods rose 2.6% (2.1% y/y), [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 02 2019

  U.S. Productivity Growth Improves and Drives Unit Labor Cost Growth Lower

  Output per hour in the nonfarm business sector grew 3.6% (SAAR) during Q1'19 following a 1.3% gain in Q4'18, revised from 1.9%. It was the strongest increase since Q3'14. During the last four quarters, productivity growth picked up to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 01 2019

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Turn Sharply Downward

  The motor vehicle weakened significantly last month. The Autodata Corporation reported that sales of light vehicles during April declined 6.1% (-4.3% y/y) to 16.39 million units (SAAR). It reversed a 5.3% March increase and left sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief