Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 14 2020

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Rise Broadly

  • Lumber & metals prices continue to strengthen. • Petroleum prices falter. The recent improvement in factory sector activity continues to support industrial materials prices. The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 11 2020

  U.S. Government Budget Deficit Expands Through August

  • Monthly budget gap increases deficit to $3.007 trillion so far in FY'20. • Receipts decline moderately while outlays surge. The U.S. Treasury Department reported that since the start of the fiscal year, which began in October, the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 11 2020

  Housing Affordability Declined in July but It Remained Up Y/Y

  • Higher home prices offset decline in mortgage interest rate. The National Association of Realtors reported that its Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index declined 0.5% to 163.3 in July (+5.2% y/y), the third consecutive [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 11 2020

  U.S. Consumer Price Index Increase Exceeds Expectations during August

  • Core goods prices surge. • Services prices moderate. • Energy prices jump. Retail pricing power continued to improve last month. The Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% (1.3% y/y) during August following a 0.6% rise in July. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 10 2020

  U.S. Wholesale Inventories Ease While Sales Continue to Recover in July

  • Wholesale inventories drop for third straight month. • Sales continue to surge. • Inventory-to-sales ratio falls with sales' strength. Wholesale inventories worked lower again, falling 0.3% during July (-5.6% y/y) and continuing [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 10 2020

  U.S. Producer Prices Rise Moderately in August

  • Core pricing power is improved. • Energy & food prices slip. • Services prices remain firm. The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.3% (-0.2% y/y) during August following a 0.6% July increase. A 0.2% increase had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 09 2020

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Opportunities Increase but Hiring Lags

  • Job openings become more available. • Hiring slows. • Layoffs ease while quits rise. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate rose to 4.5% during July, the highest level since last October and up from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 09 2020

  Mortgage Loan Applications Rebound as Rates Ease Again

  • Applications for both purchase and refinancings increase. • Mortgage rates approach record low. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index increased 2.9% (36.3% y/y) in the week ended September 4, following [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 09 2020

  U.S. Energy Prices Weaken

  • Gasoline prices slip marginally. • Crude oil prices ease, then break sharply lower. • Natural gas prices decline sharply. Regular gasoline prices slipped to $2.21 per gallon (-13.3% y/y) in the week ended September 7 after rising to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 08 2020

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Firms Again in July

  • Nonrevolving borrowing usage surges. • Charge card balances ease further. Consumers continue to buy more using credit. Consumer credit outstanding increased $12.2 billion during July (0.5% y/y) following an $11.4 billion June [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 08 2020

  U.S. Small Businesses Optimism Improves During August

  • NFIB Small Business Optimism Index retraces most of July's decline. • Employment & pricing conditions improve. • Economy & sales readings soften. The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 04 2020

  U.S. Employment Growth Remains Firm in August; Earnings Growth Picks Up & Jobless Rate Falls Sharply

  • Strong job gains continue after coronavirus shutdowns ebb. • Census hiring boosts total. • Earnings growth improves. • Jobless rate declines to five-month low. Labor market healing is continuing. Nonfarm payroll employment increased [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief