Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 21 2021

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Rebound

  • Refinancing & purchase applications jump. • Mortgage interest rates ease again. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index increased 8.6% (-5.7% y/y) in the week ended April 16, following six consecutive [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 21 2021

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Rebound

  • Refinancing & purchase applications jump. • Mortgage interest rates ease again. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index increased 8.6% (-5.7% y/y) in the week ended April 16, following six consecutive [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 20 2021

  U.S. Energy Prices Recover

  • Gasoline prices reverse last week's easing. • Crude oil prices strengthen. • Natural gas prices reach five-week high. The price of regular gasoline edged higher to $2.86 per gallon (+57.6% y/y) in the week ended April 19 and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 19 2021

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Edge Higher

  • Lumber prices strengthen. • Metals prices are mixed. The Industrial Materials Price Index, from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER), increased 1.4% during the four weeks ended April 16, leaving [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 16 2021

  U.S. Housing Starts Surge in March to Highest Level Since June 2006

  • Starts rebound after harsh winter weather limited building activity. • Single-family & multi-family starts rise sharply. • Building permits increase moderately. Better weather and low interest rates boosted housing last month. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 15 2021

  U.S. Home Builder Index Edges Higher in April

  • Housing market activity remains below November high. • Activity is mixed regionally. The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo rose 1.2% to 83 during April after falling 2.4% in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 15 2021

  Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Strengthens in April

  • Headline index jumps to highest level since 1973. • Underlying strength remains widespread. • Prices paid ease. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Factory Sector Business Conditions Index jumped to 50.2 during April [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 15 2021

  U.S. Retail Sales Soar in March

  • Strength is broad-based as consumers venture into stores. • Durable goods are notably firm. • Earlier months' data were little-revised. Improved weather, a strong employment gain, $1,400 stimulus checks and store re-openings [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 14 2021

  U.S. Import & Export Prices Continue to Rise in March

  • Import costs are unexpectedly strong. • Export price gain picks up. Import prices increased 1.2% (6.9% y/y) during March following a little-revised 1.3% February rise. A 0.9% increase had been expected in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 14 2021

  U.S. Import & Export Prices Continue to Rise in March

  • Import costs are unexpectedly strong. • Export price gain picks up. Import prices increased 1.2% (6.9% y/y) during March following a 1.3% February rise. A 0.9% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 14 2021

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Decline Further

  • Purchase and refinancing applications fall. • Mortgage interest rates ease. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index fell 3.7% (-13.4% y/y) in the week ended April 9, the sixth consecutive weekly decline. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 13 2021

  U.S. Consumer Price Inflation Picks Up as Both Energy & Core Prices Strengthen in March

  • Higher energy prices lead last month's gain. • Services price inflation continues to accelerate. • Core goods prices pick up. Price inflation at the retail level is accelerating as demand firms. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.6% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief