Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 29 2021

  U.S. GDP Growth Acceleration Paced by the Consumer

  • Cash payments, vaccinations and reduced business restrictions lift consumer spending. • Business investment surges, again • Price index is lifted by energy and housing. Trillions of dollars in government aid as well as widespread [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 28 2021

  FOMC: Fed Funds Rate Remains Near Zero

  The Federal Reserve left the target for the Fed funds rate in a range of 0.00% to 0.25% at today's meeting of the FOMC. The Fed continued to assert, "The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 28 2021

  Advance U.S. Trade Deficit in Goods Deepens to Record in March

  • Foreign trade deficit increases as economy improves. • Exports and imports reversed earlier declines. The advance estimate of the U.S. trade deficit in goods widened to a record $90.59 billion during March from $87.07 billion in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 28 2021

  U.S. Mortgage Applications & Interest Rates Decline

  • Refinancing & purchase applications fall. • Mortgage interest rates continue to ease. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index weakened 2.5% (-3.5% y/y) in the week ended April 23, following declines during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 27 2021

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Strengthens During April

  • COVID-19 shots & stimulus checks lift confidence to 14-month high. • Improvement in current conditions reading outpaces expectations increase. • Job market indexes continue to strengthen. Consumers are growing more confident in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 27 2021

  U.S. Energy Prices Continue to Rise

  • Gasoline prices edge higher. • Crude oil prices improve. • Natural gas prices strengthen. The price of regular gasoline ticked up to $2.87 per gallon (62.0% y/y) in the week ended April 26 from $2.86 per gallon in the prior week. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 26 2021

  Texas Manufacturing Activity & Expectations Improve During April

  • New orders growth & employment remain on rising trend. • Prices received & labor costs also rise. • Expectations strengthen led by new orders growth. Texas manufacturing activity continued to strengthen during April. The Texas [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 26 2021

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Disappoint in March

  • Transportation orders decline sharply for a second month. • Orders of core capital goods reverse February decline. • Shipments rebound while order backlogs & inventories rise. Manufacturers' orders for durable goods rose 0.5% in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 23 2021

  U.S. New Home Sales Surge in March

  • Sales rebound from weather-depressed February. • Gains spread throughout most of country. • Median home prices decline. New home sales surged last month to the highest level since August 2006. Sales of new single-family homes surged [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 22 2021

  Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Strengthens in April

  • Growth remains at record level. • Component movement is mixed. • Expectations for six months ahead ease. The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index rose to a record 31 in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 22 2021

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Fall in March as Supply Remains Tight

  • Existing home sales decline to lowest level since last August. • Inventory of unsold homes falls sharply from last year. • Prices rise to record high. The market for previously owned homes weakened last month after sales declined in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 22 2021

  Chicago Fed National Activity Index Increases in March

  • Activity recovers following severe winter storms in February. • Production, personal spending & housing strengthen following earlier month's declines. The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's National Activity Index increased to 1.71 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief