Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 01 2021

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Strengthen During March

  • Passenger car sales improve as light truck sales surge. • Domestic & import sales post strong increases. • Imports' share of vehicle market continues to rise. U.S. sales of light vehicles strengthened last month as COVID-19 vaccines [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 01 2021

  U.S. Construction Spending Declines During February

  • Harsh winter weather curtailed building activity. • Residential decline led by multi-family sector. • Public-sector building weakened. Building activity weakened as severe winter weather curtailed activity. The value of construction [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 01 2021

  ISM Manufacturing Index Strengthens During March

  • Factory activity increases to 1983 high. • Component strength is broad-based. • Pricing power remains strong. Factory sector activity remained robust last month. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its Composite [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2021

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Fall Sharply in February

  • Sales are constrained by limited supply. • Harsh winter weather likely also constrained sales. Pending home sales fell 10.6% (-0.5% y/y) during February following a 2.4% January drop, revised from -2.8%. According to the National [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2021

  U.S. ADP Nonfarm Private Payrolls Strengthen in March

  • Job gains follow a weather-depressed February plus vaccination expansion. • Improvement is wide-spread amongst company size. • Factory & construction workforces reverse February declines. The rate of job market improvement rose last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 30 2021

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Surges During March

  • Consumer confidence improvement accompanies COVID-19 shots & stimulus checks. • Current conditions and expectations readings improve. • Job market index strengthens. Consumers' willingness and wherewithal to spend strengthened this [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 30 2021

  U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Fall

  • Gasoline prices reverse earlier rise. • Crude oil prices drop sharply for second straight week. • Natural gas prices rise slightly. The price of regular gasoline eased to $2.85 per gallon (+42.2% y/y) in the week ended March 29 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 29 2021

  Texas Manufacturing Activity Improves Markedly in March; Production Sets Record

  • New orders growth & employment strengthen. • Prices received & labor costs also rise. • Expectations are little changed, remaining near 2018 high. Manufacturing activity in Texas continued to improve during March. The Texas [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 26 2021

  Advance U.S. Trade Deficit in Goods Deepens in February

  • Int'l trade deficit sets new record. • Both exports and imports decline. The advance estimate of the U.S. trade deficit in goods widened to $86.72 billion in February from $84.58 billion in January. An $85.1 billion deficit had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 26 2021

  U.S. Personal Income & Spending Decline in February

  • Total income falls but wage income holds steady. • Spending weakens across categories. • Pricing power moderates. Personal income weakened 7.1% (+4.3% y/y) during February following a little-revised 10.1% January jump. A 7.0% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 25 2021

  Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Improves Again in March

  • Growth continues at a record level. • Component movement is mixed. • Expectations for six months ahead improve. The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index rose to a record [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 25 2021

  U.S. GDP Growth Revised Higher in Q4'20; Corporate Profits Decline

  • Activity remains 2.4% below Q4'19 peak. • Corporate earnings drop follows Q3 surge. • Business fixed investment led growth at yearend. Real GDP rose 4.3% (SAAR) during Q4'20 (-2.4% y/y), revised from 4.1%, following a record 33.4% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief