Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 06 2021

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings & Hiring Rates Improve Sharply in February

  • Number of openings and hiring strengthens. • Layoffs & quits rise slightly. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that on the last business day of February, the total job openings rate strengthened to a record 4.9% from 4.7% in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 06 2021

  U.S. Energy Prices Improve Slightly

  • Gasoline prices reverse piece of earlier decline. • Crude oil prices rise modestly. • Natural gas prices edge higher. The price of regular gasoline rose to $2.86 per gallon (48.5% y/y) in the week ended April 5 after falling to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 05 2021

  U.S. ISM Services Index Surges to Record High in March

  • Surprising strength led by business activity & new orders. • Employment bounces back. • Pricing improves to 2008 high as delivery speeds slow. Service sector activity strengthened last month along with the factory sector, as [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 02 2021

  U.S. Payrolls are Unexpectedly Strong in March; Unemployment Rate Declines

  • Leisure & hospitality plus construction drive jobs strength. • Average hourly earnings slip. • Unemployment rate declines to lowest level in twelve months. The labor market has revived with business re-openings following [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 02 2021

  U.S. Payrolls are Unexpectedly Strong During March; Unemployment Rate Declines

  • Leisure & hospitality plus construction drive jobs strength. • Average hourly earnings slip. • Unemployment rate declines to lowest level in twelve months. The labor market has revived with business re-openings following [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 01 2021

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Strengthen During March

  • Passenger car sales improve as light truck sales surge. • Domestic & import sales post strong increases. • Imports' share of vehicle market continues to rise. U.S. sales of light vehicles strengthened last month as COVID-19 vaccines [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 01 2021

  U.S. Construction Spending Declines During February

  • Harsh winter weather curtailed building activity. • Residential decline led by multi-family sector. • Public-sector building weakened. Building activity weakened as severe winter weather curtailed activity. The value of construction [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 01 2021

  ISM Manufacturing Index Strengthens During March

  • Factory activity increases to 1983 high. • Component strength is broad-based. • Pricing power remains strong. Factory sector activity remained robust last month. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its Composite [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2021

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Fall Sharply in February

  • Sales are constrained by limited supply. • Harsh winter weather likely also constrained sales. Pending home sales fell 10.6% (-0.5% y/y) during February following a 2.4% January drop, revised from -2.8%. According to the National [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 31 2021

  U.S. ADP Nonfarm Private Payrolls Strengthen in March

  • Job gains follow a weather-depressed February plus vaccination expansion. • Improvement is wide-spread amongst company size. • Factory & construction workforces reverse February declines. The rate of job market improvement rose last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 30 2021

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Surges During March

  • Consumer confidence improvement accompanies COVID-19 shots & stimulus checks. • Current conditions and expectations readings improve. • Job market index strengthens. Consumers' willingness and wherewithal to spend strengthened this [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 30 2021

  U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Fall

  • Gasoline prices reverse earlier rise. • Crude oil prices drop sharply for second straight week. • Natural gas prices rise slightly. The price of regular gasoline eased to $2.85 per gallon (+42.2% y/y) in the week ended March 29 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief