Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• 

  USA| Dec 09 2021

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decline Unexpectedly

  • Initial claims fall to lowest since September 6, 1969.
  • Continuing claims in regular programs rise.
  • Insured jobless rate increases.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Dec 09 2021

  U.S. Wholesale Inventories & Sales Jump in October

  • Durable & nondurable inventories strengthen.
  • Sales firm for a second month.
  • I/S ratio holds steady.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Dec 08 2021

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Improves in October

  • Job openings return to near-record level.
  • Hiring is little changed.
  • Quits decline after four consecutive increases.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Dec 08 2021

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Rise

  • Refinancing applications increase but purchase applications decline.
  • 30-year mortgage rate eases.
  • Purchase loan size declines.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 02 2021

  U.S. Payroll Strength Exceeds Expectations in June

  • Service-sector gains led by leisure & hospitality. • Average hourly earnings growth moderates. • Unemployment rate edges higher. Nonfarm payroll employment increased 850,000 (5.8% y/y) during June. It was the largest increase since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 02 2021

  U.S. Factory Orders Surge and Shipments Improve in May

  • Orders increase paced by transportation. • Increased shipments largely reflect higher oil prices. • Order backlogs and inventories continue to rise. New orders for manufactured goods jumped 1.7% (30.4% y/y) during May following a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 02 2021

  U.S. Payroll Strength Exceeds Expectations in June

  • Service-sector gains led by leisure & hospitality. • Average hourly earnings growth moderates. • Unemployment rate edges higher. Nonfarm payroll employment increased 850,000 (5.8% y/y) during June. It was the largest increase since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 02 2021

  U.S. Payroll Strength Exceeds Expectations in June

  • Service-sector gains led by leisure & hospitality. • Average hourly earnings growth moderates. • Unemployment rate edges higher. Nonfarm payroll employment increased 850,000 (5.8% y/y) during June. It was the largest increase since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 01 2021

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales in June Fall Again

  • Car & light truck sales weaken. • Parts shortages play role in weakness. • Both import & domestic sales suffer. The Autodata Corporation reported that light vehicle sales during June declined 10.2% (+16.0% y/y) to 15.35 million [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 01 2021

  U.S. Construction Spending Falters in May

  • Private nonresidential building activity declines sharply. • Residential building improves slightly. • Public sector construction continues to ease. The value of construction put-in-place weakened 0.3% (+7.5% y/y) during May after [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 01 2021

  ISM Manufacturing Index Eases in June

  • Factory activity expands for 13th consecutive month. • Component movement is mixed. • Price increases continue to be broad-based. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its Composite Index of Manufacturing Sector [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2021

  U.S. Chicago Business Barometer Retreats in June

  • Barometer falls to lowest level in four months. • New orders & production weaken. • Delivery speeds slow while pricing power strengthens. The ISM-Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer declined to 66.1 in June from 75.2 in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief