Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

USA| Feb 16 2022
U.S. Retail Sales Strength Exceeds Expectations in January
Omicron disruptions ease.

Vehicle sales strengthen.

Online sales surge.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 16 2022
U.S. Home Builder Index Eases in February
Decline adds to January weakening.

Future sales & traffic fall again but current sales improve.

Regional changes are mixed.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 15 2022
U.S. Gasoline & Oil Prices Increase; Natural Gas Costs Ease
Gasoline prices continue their upward trek.

Crude oil prices rise further.

Natural gas prices slip.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 15 2022
U.S. Producer Price Rise Is Double Expectations in January
Core goods prices jump again.

Service prices remain strong.

Energy & food prices reverse earlier declines.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 14 2022
FIBER: Industrial Commodity Price Strength Continues
Crude oil prices surge.

Steel scrap leads metals price increase.

Falling lumber costs offset higher rubber prices.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 11 2022
U.S. Housing Affordability Continues to Fall in December
Rising home prices couple with higher mortgage rates to dampen affordability.

Family income increase fails to keep pace with rising home costs.

Payment as a percent of income reaches six-month high.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 10 2022
U.S. Consumer Price Increase Is Propelled to 40-Year High
Annual gain remains strongest since 1982.

Both core goods and services prices strengthen further.

Energy prices jump and food price increase accelerates.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 10 2022
U.S. Federal Government Runs Budget Surplus in January
Revenues surge with stronger employment.

Outlays fall with lessened income security payments.

Interest payments surge.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 09 2022
U.S. Mortgage Applications Decline As Rates Rise
Total applications fall for second week in last three.

Decline in purchase applications outpaces refinancings.

30-year mortgage interest rates continue to increase.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 09 2022
U.S. Wholesale Inventories Surge in December
Inventory gain is broad-based.

Sales increase is negligible.

I/S ratio increases.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 08 2022
U.S. Gasoline, Crude Oil & Natural Gas Prices Strengthen
Gasoline prices jump to highest level since 2014.

Cost of crude oil increases also to an eight-year high.

Natural gas prices spike.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 08 2022
U.S. Trade Deficit Hits Record in 2021
Petroleum imports surge last year with higher prices.

December exports & imports increase strongly.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief