Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

USA| Feb 28 2022
U.S. Chicago Business Barometer Drops Sharply in February
Component weakness pronounced in production & new orders.

Employment weakens significantly.

Pricing power softens.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Europe| Feb 25 2022
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Again in January
Pending home sales weaken to lowest level in nine months.

Sales fall in most of country.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 25 2022
U.S. Personal Spending Jumps but Income Stagnates in January
Strong goods purchases follow December's weakness.

Core price inflation remains steady & strong.

Wage & salary growth eases slightly.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 24 2022
U.S. GDP Growth Is Revised Up Slightly in Q4'21
Inventories remain the main impulse for growth.

Domestic final demand growth raised. Foreign trade effect turns negative.

Price inflation strengthened.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 23 2022
U.S. Energy Product Prices Continue to Rise
Gasoline prices strengthen again with tight supplies.

Crude oil prices rise with uncertainties in Europe.

Natural gas prices also increase.
by:Tom Moeller
USA| Feb 23 2022
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Fall As Rates Rise
Total applications fall to lowest level since December 2019.

Applications for purchase and refinancing weaken.

Mortgage interest rates edge higher.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 22 2022
U.S. FHFA House Price Index Remains Strong in December
House price advance doubles in 2021.

Strength is broad regionally.

December's price gain is led by New England.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 22 2022
U.S. Consumer Confidence Weakens in February
Expectations fall sharply for second month; present situation reading improves again.

Jobs are harder to find.

Expectations for price inflation & interest rates rise.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 18 2022
U.S. Existing Home Sales Rise as Prices Fall in January
Sales rise to twelve-month high.

Increases are broad-based regionally.

Median price declines to nine-month low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 18 2022
U.S. Leading Economic Indicator Index Declines in January
Component changes are mixed.

Coincident indicators continue to rise.

Lagging indicators increase for fifth straight month.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 17 2022
Philadelphia Fed Factory Index Weakens in February
New & unfilled orders decline. Employment improves.

Delivery times ease for third straight month.

Prices paid backpedal.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Feb 17 2022
U.S. Housing Starts Decline in January
Severe winter weather limited building activity.

Regional changes remain mixed.

Building permits are little changed.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief