Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 01 2021

  ISM Manufacturing Index Eases in June

  • Factory activity expands for 13th consecutive month. • Component movement is mixed. • Price increases continue to be broad-based. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its Composite Index of Manufacturing Sector [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2021

  U.S. Chicago Business Barometer Retreats in June

  • Barometer falls to lowest level in four months. • New orders & production weaken. • Delivery speeds slow while pricing power strengthens. The ISM-Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer declined to 66.1 in June from 75.2 in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2021

  U.S. ADP Nonfarm Private Payrolls Increase Firmly in June

  • Increase is unexpectedly strong. • Hiring is robust across business size. • Industry gains led by leisure & hospitality. Job market improvement remains solid. The ADP National Employment Report indicated that June nonfarm private [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2021

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Is Unexpectedly Strong in June

  • Confidence reaches thirteen-month high. • Improvement is logged in current conditions and expectations. • Job market indexes continue to strengthen. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index jumped 6.1% this month to 127.3 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2021

  U.S. FHFA House Price Index Jumps Again in April

  • Home price appreciation accelerates. • Record price increases are logged m/m and y/y. • Double-digit annual gains spread across the country. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index surged 1.8% (15.7 % y/y) during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 28 2021

  Texas Manufacturing Growth Continues and Outlook Improves in June

  • Current production & orders growth pick up; employment remains strong. • Pricing power strengthens. The Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey, conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, indicated that its General Business [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 25 2021

  U.S. Personal Spending Stabilizes as Income Declines in May

  • Goods spending continues to weaken; services strengthen. • Increase in core prices hits twenty-year high. • Total take-home earnings again fall sharply. Personal consumption expenditures held steady during May (18.9% y/y) following [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 24 2021

  Kansas City Fed's Factory Sector Index Steadies in June

  • Growth stays just below its record. • Component movement is mixed m/m. • Expectations for six months ahead improve. The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index edged up to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 24 2021

  U.S. GDP Growth is Unrevised in Q1'21; Corporate Profit Estimate Strengthened

  • Consumer spending, business & residential investment are strengthened. • Foreign trade subtraction is increased. • Corporate profit improvement is raised. Real GDP surged 6.4% (SAAR) during Q1'21 (0.4% y/y), unrevised from last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 24 2021

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Rebound in May

  • Transportation orders surge, while ex-transportation improves further. • Core capital goods orders ease following earlier strength. • Shipments rise along with order backlogs & inventories. The factory sector remains on a firm [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 23 2021

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Sets Record in Q1'21

  • Goods trade deficit widens sharply. • Services trade surplus shrinks to least since 2012. The U.S. current account deficit deepened to $195.7 last quarter from $175.1 billion in Q4'20, revised from $188.5 billion. The Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 23 2021

  U.S. New Home Sales Decline Unexpectedly in May

  • Sales fall for second straight month. • Decline centers in the South. • Median home prices set new record. Sales of new single-family homes declined 5.9% (+9.2% y/y) during May to 769,000 units (SAAR) from 817,000 during April, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief