
U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings & Hiring Rates Improve Sharply in February
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
• Number of openings and hiring strengthens. • Layoffs & quits rise slightly. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that on the last business day of February, the total job openings rate strengthened to a record 4.9% from 4.7% in [...]
• Number of openings and hiring strengthens.
• Layoffs & quits rise slightly.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that on the last business day of February, the total job openings rate strengthened to a record 4.9% from 4.7% in January, revised from 4.6%. The openings rate is calculated as job openings as a percent of total employment plus jobs that have not yet been filled. The hiring rate improved to 4.0% following two months at a depressed 3.8%. The overall layoff & discharge rate held steady at 1.2%. The quits rate rose also was unchanged at 2.3% and has been moving sideways since July. The JOLTS figures date back to December 2000.
The private-sector job openings rate jumped to a record 5.2% from 5.0%. The professional & business services rate eased to 6.3% but the leisure & hospitality rate rose sharply, also to 6.3%. The education & health services rate also jumped to a record 6.3%. The government sector job openings rate fell to 2.9%, the lowest reading in nine months. The private sector job openings level rose 5.5% (7.9% y/y) to 6.732 million.
In February, the private sector hiring rate rose to 4.5%, but remained well below the record 7.2% in May of last year. The leisure & hospitality rate jumped to 8.6%. The professional & business service sector edged higher to 5.3% while the factory sector hiring rate rose to 3.2%.The government sector hiring rate fell to 1.4%, down from a 2.6% high in August. The level of private sector hiring rose 6.7% (-2.6% y/y) to 5.446 million.
Data on job separations reflect a combination of layoffs and quits. The separations rate of 3.8% in February compared to the record 10.8% in March of last year. The level of separations declined 4.5% y/y. Private sector separations fell 4.8% y/y and the private separations rate edged higher to 4.2%, while government's rose to 1.6%.
The layoff & discharge rate in the private sector edged higher to 1.4% but remained near the record low. The professional & business services layoff & discharge rate rose to 2.1% and was down from an all-time high of 6.3% in April. The 3.4% rate in construction compared to 0.7% in manufacturing. The higher 1.0% rate in the information sector remained below the record 6.8% in March. It compared to a slightly higher 0.6% in finance. The rate held at 0.4% in government.
The steady quits rate of 2.6% in the private sector remained up from 1.8% in May. It compared to 0.9% in government. In the leisure & hospitality sector, the quits rate slipped to 4.6%. The quits rate in professional & business services held steady at 2.8% for the third straight month. In manufacturing, the job quits rate was steady m/m at 2.1% and remained up from 1.0% in April of last year. In finance, the quits rate eased to 1.6%. The level of job quits in the private sector fell 2.3% y/y. In government, the level of quits rose 2.1% y/y.
The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) are available in Haver's USECON database.
JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey, SA) | Feb | Jan | Dec | Feb'20 | Feb'19 | Feb'18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rate (%) | 4.9 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
Total (000s) | 7,367 | 7,099 | 6,752 | 7,012 | 7,058 | 6,586 |
Hires, Total | ||||||
Rate (%) | 4.0 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
Total (000s) | 5,738 | 5,465 | 5,411 | 5,979 | 5,668 | 5,633 |
Layoffs & Discharges, Total | ||||||
Rate (%) | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Total (000s) | 1,775 | 1,724 | 1,823 | 1,953 | 1,769 | 1,758 |
Quits, Total | ||||||
Rate (%) | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
Total (000s) | 3,357 | 3,306 | 3,407 | 3,430 | 3,543 | 3,200 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.