Global| Mar 25 2008Case-Shiller Home Price Index Posts 10.7% y/y Decline
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
The S&P/Case-Shiller Composite 20 home price index fell 2.4% m/m in January. As a result this index of U.S. home prices was down 10.7% from January of 2007, a record decline for this series which dates back only to 2000. Home prices [...]
The S&P/Case-Shiller Composite 20 home price index fell 2.4% m/m in January. As a result this index of U.S. home prices was down 10.7% from January of 2007, a record decline for this series which dates back only to 2000. Home prices have fallen in every month since July of 2006 and the decline over that period totals 12.5%.
The index of 20 U.S. cities and their surrounding areas is not adjusted for the quality or the size of the home. The home price index from the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) does make these adjustments. This series indicates that during the fourth quarter of 2007 house prices rose a negligible 0.8% y/y, the weakest gain since 1990.
The Case-Shiller composite index of homes in a fewer 10 a metropolitan areas fell 2.3% (-11.4% y/y) last month.
Home prices in San Francisco prices fell 13.2% and prices in Miami Florida also fell sharply by 19.3% y/y. Home prices in Las Vegas Nevada matched that decline and fell 19.3% y/y while in Los Angeles prices fell 16.5% y/y.
Relatively moderate declines were registered in New York (-5.8% y/y), Chicago (-6.6% y/y), Denver (-5.1% y/y) and San Diego California (-5.8% y/y).
An overview of the S&P/Case-Shiller home price series can be found here.
The S&P/Case-Shiller home price series can be found in Haver's REGIONAL database.
| S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index (NSA, Jan 00 = 100) | January | December | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 City Composite Index | 180.65 | 185.01 | -10.7% | -3.8% | 7.6% | 15.8% |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
