The economic profession and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) statisticians have been debating the proper construction of price indices for decades. It is probably a good time to renew the debate since published price indexes have [...]
Global| Dec 10 2018Is the CPI or PCE the "Correct" Price Target for Monetary Policy? Both Are Flawed Price Measures
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Global| Nov 27 2018State Coincident Indexes
The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's estimates of state coincident activity in October is in line with other state-level indicators showing a convergence of growth across the nation. The 12-month growth in the indexes lay between [...]
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Global| Nov 20 2018Asset Cycles & Financial Crises: "Made In Washington"
The Federal Reserve is facing the growing possibility of the third asset price bust in the last two decades. And each one has a "Made in Washington" label attached to it as policymakers have failed to use official rates to maintain [...]
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Global| Nov 16 2018State Labor Markets in October
State labor markets were noticeably stronger in October than September. Nine states were reported to have had statistically significant increases in payroll employment, although the gains in the Carolinas doubtlessly reflected in [...]
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Global| Nov 13 2018The Fed's New Challenge: Using Interest Rate Lever to Maintain Financial Stability
Policymakers are confronted with a very different and challenging environment, both operationally and politically. The Federal Reserve has a dual mandate of full employment and price stability, but is also charged with maintaining [...]
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Global| Oct 30 2018State Coincident Indexes
The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's estimates of state coincident activity, like the state job numbers, suggest that September saw some slowing in the pace of growth in large portions of the nation. 10 states are reported to have [...]
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Global| Oct 29 2018Early Report Card On Trump's Fiscal Policies---Grade C
The Trump Administration has used a variety of changes in fiscal policies---business and consumer tax cuts, de-regulation, increase in defense and domestic discretionary spending and tariffs on selected foreign goods---to help spur [...]
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Global| Oct 26 2018Equity Market Selloff Resembles Liquidity Squeeze of 2000
The abrupt and sharp decline in equity prices in recent weeks has been largely pinned on the Federal Reserve as policymakers continue to move forward with their plan to raise official rates. Yet, the sell-off in the equity market is [...]
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