Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics

Viewpoints: May 2018

  • Global| May 23 2018

    State Coincident Indexes

    The Philadelphia Federal Reserve has released updated estimates of coincident indexes by state. The coincident indexes are computed from a dynamic factor model relating a number of other monthly variables (primarily from the labor [...]

  • Recently both the US and China announced policy changes or campaigns with 2025 as a target date. Although the date was similar, the substance of each was not, illustrating why the US continually runs trade deficits and China trade [...]

  • The April job numbers across the states were consistent with the national figures, and show some continuing moderation in the pace of job growth. BLS reports that only three states had statistically significant growth in jobs (Texas, [...]

  • BEA has released its estimates of 2016 real personal incomes for states and metro areas. These estimates are derived by computing personal consumption price deflators for those locations (data on regional CPIs are used in this [...]

  • Global| May 04 2018

    State GDP

    BEA has released new estimates of GDP by state (the release came out at the same instant as the April market labor report, so undoubtedly received even less notice than usual!). State GDP estimates are too a large extent a reworking [...]

  • Global| May 01 2018

    Q1 GDP: Something Missing?

    The initial estimate of 2.3% growth in Q1 real GDP by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) was only slightly above the consensus estimate of 2%, and probably will convince policymakers to stay on the gradual course of policy [...]