Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics

Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

  • According to the Autodata Corporation, November US sales of light vehicles recovered most of the prior month's decline with a 6.7% m/m rise to 15.74M. The increase, however, failed to recoup the decline during the prior three months. [...]

  • Global| Dec 02 2005

    U.S. Payrolls Up

    In November, non-farm payrolls posted the largest gain since July. The 215,000 increase matched Consensus expectations and followed a 44,000 October rise that was slightly lower than initially reported, but the September figure was [...]

  • Global| Dec 02 2005

    U.S. Payrolls Up

    In November, non-farm payrolls posted the largest gain since July. The 215,000 increase matched Consensus expectations and followed a 44,000 October rise that was slightly lower than initially reported, but the September figure was [...]

  • The value of construction put in place rose 0.7% in October though the September gain was revised lower to 0.2% due to a lessened increase in residential building. Residential building in October continued at about its earlier pace [...]

  • US real GDP growth for 3Q was revised upward to 4.3% (AR) and surpassed Consensus expectations for 4.1% growth. Operating corporate profits are estimated to have declined 3.4% (+16.5% y/y) and that reversed most of a 2Q rise. [...]

  • The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) reported that the November Composite Index of activity in the manufacturing sector fell one point to 58.1. The decline about matched Consensus expectations and the average of the last three [...]

  • Initial claims for jobless insurance reversed about half of the prior week's rise and fell 17,000 to 320,000 during Thanksgiving week. Consensus expectations had been for 323,000 claims. Hurricane related claims dropped back to 10,000 [...]

  • A strong 0.6% gain in wage & salary disbursements raised U.S. personal income by 0.4% in October. The increase in wages offset declines in proprietors' and rental income while the latest rise in total income followed an unrevised 1.7% [...]

  • A strong 0.6% gain in wage & salary disbursements raised U.S. personal income by 0.4% in October. The increase in wages offset declines in proprietors' and rental income while the latest rise in total income followed an unrevised 1.7% [...]

  • The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey indicated that during Thanksgiving week, chain store sales slipped 0.7% following the prior period's 1.0% jump. The latest left the average level of sales in November [...]

  • The Conference Board reported that it's November index of Consumer Confidence recovered to the highest level since August. The 16.1% m/m jump contrasted to Consensus expectations for a lesser gain to 90.0 and it was the strongest m/m [...]

  • New single-family home sales rose a surprising 13.0% last month to a record 1.424M, adding to upwardly revised levels in September and August. The m/m advance was the strongest since 1993 and the October level by far exceeded [...]