Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 08 2005

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Up Modestly

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 6,000 to 327,000 last week following a revised 16,000 drop the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims. Hurricane related claims dropped to 8,000 and brought the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 08 2005

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Up Modestly

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 6,000 to 327,000 last week following a revised 16,000 drop the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims. Hurricane related claims dropped to 8,000 and brought the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2005

  Mortgage Applications Recover Some

  According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the 5.2% rise in the total number of mortgage applications last week recovered virtually all of the prior two weeks' decline. Nevertheless, the rebound left the recent level 26% below the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2005

  Challenger Layoffs Up Third Straight Month in November

  Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job cut announcements in November rose for the third consecutive month. The 22.1% rise to 99,279 followed a 13.2% rise the prior month and pulled the three month average of job cut [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2005

  Challenger Layoffs Up Third Straight Month in November

  Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job cut announcements in November rose for the third consecutive month. The 22.1% rise to 99,279 followed a 13.2% rise the prior month and pulled the three month average of job cut [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2005

  Chain Store Sales Down Sharply

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey indicated that chain store sales collapsed 3.1% last week following the 0.7% drop during Thanksgiving week. It was the sharpest w/w drop since 1996 and lowered the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2005

  U.S. Factory Inventories Back on the Rise, Order Backlogs Surged

  Factory inventories in October rose 0.6% following an upwardly revised 0.1% up tick in September. Less petroleum, the 0.4% (3.9% y/y) rise in factory inventories was the strongest since February. The October inventory gain was led by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2005

  3Q U.S. Productivity Revised Up, 2Q Compensation Lower

  Non-farm labor productivity growth for 3Q was revised higher to 4.7% versus the initial estimate of a 4.1% gain. Consensus expectations had been for a revision to 4.5%. The strength of these increases is impressive given that three [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2005

  3Q U.S. Productivity Revised Up, 2Q Compensation Lower

  Non-farm labor productivity growth for 3Q was revised higher to 4.7% versus the initial estimate of a 4.1% gain. Consensus expectations had been for a revision to 4.5%. The strength of these increases is impressive given that three [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 05 2005

  ISM: Activity Expanded Outside the Factory Sector

  The Institute for Supply Management reported that the Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector in November slipped to 58.5 from an unrevised 60.0 the prior month. A reading above 50 indicates expansion. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 05 2005

  ISM: Activity Expanded Outside the Factory Sector

  The Institute for Supply Management reported that the Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector in November slipped to 58.5 from an unrevised 60.0 the prior month. A reading above 50 indicates expansion. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 02 2005

  Home Price Appreciation Strong, But Off Record Pace

  According to the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) home prices in the U.S. continued to rise last quarter, but the rate of escalation showed signs of topping out. The 2.9% q/q rise was down from the prior quarter [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief