Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• 

  USA| Aug 12 2022

  U.S. Housing Affordability Declines Further in June

  • Higher prices & interest rates couple to reduce affordability.

  • Median family income fails to keep pace with home costs.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Aug 11 2022

  U.S. Producer Prices Fall During July; Core Increase Weakens

  • Energy price decline is first since April 2020.

  • Core goods price increase eases.

  • Services price rise negligible.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Aug 10 2022

  U.S. Federal Government Budget Deficit Shrinks in July

  • Receipts strengthen y/y as outlays fall sharply.

  • Personal income tax receipts surge.

  • Income security payments decline.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Aug 09 2022

  U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Continue Weakening

  • Gasoline prices fall sharply.

  • The cost of crude oil falls again.

  • Natural gas prices weaken.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Aug 09 2022

  U.S. Productivity Declines in Q2, Pushing Unit Labor Costs Higher

  • Annual decline in nonfarm productivity posts record.
  • Compensation growth remains strong.
  • Unit labor cost growth is highest since 1982.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Aug 08 2022

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Price Weakness Led by Oil

  • Oil prices reach lowest level since February.

  • Steel scrap & framing lumber prices remain notably weak.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Aug 05 2022

  U.S. Job Market Improves Broadly During July

  • Payroll employment increase accelerates to 528,000.

  • Wage gain remains firm at 5.2% y/y.

  • Unemployment rate returns to 50-year low.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Aug 04 2022

  U.S. Foreign Trade Deficit Narrows in June

  • Deficit is smallest in six months.

  • Exports continue to strengthen but imports fall.

  • Petroleum imports increase.

  • Trade deficit with China widens.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Aug 03 2022

  U.S. ISM Services PMI Improves During July

  • Component gains led by business activity & new orders.

  • Employment improves but supplier delivery speeds increase.

  • Prices index declines sharply.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Aug 02 2022

  JOLTS: Job Openings & Hiring Decline in June

  • The number of job openings fall for third consecutive month.

  • New hires are off for fourth straight month.

  • Separations decline with fewer quits.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Aug 02 2022

  U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Decline

  • Gasoline prices off sharply from mid-June peak.

  • Crude oil price reverses earlier improvement.

  • Natural gas prices strengthen.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Aug 02 2022

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Rise Modestly in July

  • Light truck sales improve but car sales are stable.

  • Sales remain constrained as parts shortages limit dealer inventory.

  • Imports' share slips.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief