Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jun 03 2011

  U.S. Payrolls Gain Modestly, As Jobless Rate Rises

  The two headline figures from the May employment report were dreary. The Bureau of Labor Statistics stated that the 54,000 worker rise in payrolls was the weakest in nearly twelve months and noted that the unemployment rate rose to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 02 2011

  U.S. Construction Spending Remains Weak

  Reported yesterday, the value of construction spending rose 0.4% during April following a 0.1% uptick in March, revised down from a 1.4% gain reported last month. Consensus expectations as indicated by Action Economics called for a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 02 2011

  U.S. Factory Orders & Shipments Backpedal

  Manufacturing orders pulled back 1.2% during April after a 3.8% March jump, revised up from 3.0%. Consensus expectations were for a 1.0% decline in total factory orders. For durable goods only, orders fell an unrevised 3.6%. As [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 02 2011

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Slip

  Initial claims for jobless insurance slipped last week to 422,000 from 428,000 during the week earlier, revised from 424,000. The latest figure was slightly higher than Consensus expectations for 419,000 claims. The four-week moving [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 01 2011

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Drop Sharply

  Lower consumer confidence can quickly translate into less spending. That seems to have been the case during May. Consumer Confidence dropped 7.9% last month according to the Conference Board. Today's news is that unit sales of light [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 01 2011

  U.S. ISM Factory Index Falls To Near Recovery Low

  The Composite Index of activity in the factory sector from the Institute for Supply Management dropped sharply last month to 53.5 from an unrevised 60.4 in April. On many counts, the figure was a disappointment. It was the lowest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 01 2011

  U.S. Challenger Layoffs Up And Hiring Plans Down

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that layoffs during May rose a slight 1.8% m/m to 37,135, but that still was nearly the lowest level since June, 2000. The uptick in layoffs was led by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 01 2011

  Intuit Small Business Hiring Index Improves Slightly

  Intuit compiles data covering small business employment and the figures indicate that jobs have been improving with the economic recovery. The 0.2% m/m gain in the May Employment Index was similar to gains since last Fall. The gains [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 01 2011

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Dip Again But Crude Oil Ticks Up

  These are confusing times for energy prices -- gasoline is down with the weak economy and less driving, but crude oil and natural gas are up. Last week, the pump price for regular gasoline fell to $3.79 per gallon though it remained [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 01 2011

  ADP Reports Reduced Forward Momentum In The Labor Market

  In its latest National Employment Report, the payroll processor Automatic Data Processing (ADP) and economic consultants Macroeconomic Advisers, indicated that the May level of private nonfarm payrolls rose just 38,000 after a 177,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 31 2011

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Backpedals To Six-Month Low

  Concern about future business conditions is the big worry on consumers' minds this month. The Conference Board reported that its May consumer confidence index fell 7.9% from April to 60.8, the lowest level since November. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 31 2011

  U.S. Case-Shiller Home Price Index Double-Dips

  Home prices have been seesawing, giving back all of the support created by last year's home-buyer tax credit. The seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index fell 0.2% m/m in March after an unrevised 0.2% February drop. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief