Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 19 2012

  U.S. Leading Indicator Gain Moderates

  The Leading Economic Indicator index from the Conference Board rose 0.3% last month after an unrevised 0.7% gain during February. A 0.2% increase had been expected. Last month a robust 70% of the series' components rose. That compares [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 19 2012

  Philadelphia Fed Activity Index Slips M/M but Shows Continued Growth

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's General Business Conditions Index slipped last month to 8.5 from 12.5 in March. Nevertheless, positive numbers for the last seven months indicate expansion in activity. The latest reading was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 19 2012

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Stutter

  Improvement in the labor market has slowed. That's the message from the latest figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Initial claims for unemployment insurance slipped just 2,000 to 386,000 from an upwardly revised 388,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 19 2012

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Stutter

  Improvement in the labor market has slowed. That's the message from the latest figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Initial claims for unemployment insurance slipped just 2,000 to 386,000 from an upwardly revised 388,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 18 2012

  U.S. Mortgage Applications For Refinancing Surge

  Lower interest rates finally prompted a gain in mortgage applications. The Mortgage Bankers Association for total mortgage applications rose 6.9% w/w to 725.4 (55.2% y/y). The increase raised applications to the highest level in five [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 17 2012

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Fall

  Chain store sales declined 1.0% last week (+3.2% y/y) following two weeks of strong increase. During the last ten years there has been a 72% correlation between the y/y change in chain store sales and the change in retail sales at [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 17 2012

  U.S. Energy Prices Decline

  Pump prices for regular gasoline dipped last week to $3.92 per gallon but still were near their highest since last May. The current level is up sixty nine cents (22%) since year-end. Haver Analytics' seasonally-adjusted price for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 17 2012

  U.S. Industrial Output Remains Unchanged; Factory Output Slips

  There's been no forward momentum recently in U.S. production activity. Industrial production was unchanged last month (3.8% y/y) following an unrevised no-change during February. The latest figure again disappointed Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 17 2012

  U.S. Housing Starts Stay In The Cellar

  Housing starts unexpectedly returned to a five month low last month. Despite mild weather, the 5.8% decline (+10.3% y/y) left starts at 654,000 in March. Expectations had been for 700,000. Lower starts of multi-family homes accounted [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 16 2012

  U.S. Business Inventory Growth Is Moderate; I/S Ratio Near Record Low

  The U.S. Commerce Department reported that business inventories rose 0.6% during February following an upwardly revised 0.8% January gain. Business sales increased a moderate 0.7% after a 0.4% January rise. As a result, the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 16 2012

  U.S. Home Builders' Index Declines

  The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo reported weaker housing activity. The Composite Housing Market Index for April fell to 25 which was its lowest since January. Earlier figures were unrevised The index of single- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 16 2012

  Empire State Factory Index Shows Moderation In Activity

  The Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions for April fell to 6.56 from an unrevised 20.21 in March. Consensus expectations had been for a lesser decline to 18.0. Based on these figures, Haver Analytics calculates an [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief