Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 16 2012

  U.S. Retail Sales Show Broad-based Gains

  Consumers were in a mood to spend last month, on most everything. Retail sales increased 0.8% (6.5% y/y) during March following little- revised gains of 1.0% and 0.7% during the prior two months. The gain exceeded Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 13 2012

  U.S. Overall CPI Gain Eases; Core Rate Firms

  Consumer prices rose a moderate and expected 0.3% last month, down from February's unrevised 0.4% gain. The increase left the y/y increase of 2.6% down from its peak of 3.9% six months ago. Prices less food and energy increased 0.2%, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 13 2012

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Moderates

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for mid-April slipped to 75.7 from 76.2 in March. The figure compared to expectations for a rise to 77.0. The reading of current economic conditions fell to 80.6 which was its [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 13 2012

  U.S. Overall CPI Gain Eases; Core Rate Firms

  Consumer prices rose a moderate and expected 0.3% last month, down from February's unrevised 0.4% gain. The increase left the y/y increase of 2.6% down from its peak of 3.9% six months ago. Prices less food and energy increased 0.2%, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 12 2012

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Rise

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 13,000 to 380,000 last week and this figure was the highest level since the end of January. The weekly number compared to Consensus expectations for 355,000 claims. The four-week moving [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 12 2012

  U.S. Trade Deficit Slides As Imports Decline

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit in February declined to $46.0B versus a little-revised $52.5B in January. Expectations were for a deficit of $52.0B. Exports ticked up just 0.1% (9.3% y/y) but imports declined 2.7% (+7.6% y/y). In [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 12 2012

  U.S. PPI Is Unchanged But Core Remains Firm

  The producer price index for finished goods was unchanged during March following an unrevised 0.4% February gain, below expectations for a 0.3% increase. Inflation pressures, however, were still evident as core pricing power [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 11 2012

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Slip Despite Interest Rate Decline

  Despite lower interest rates, mortgage applications have yet to move higher. Last week the index of total mortgage applications fell 2.4% w/w to 678.8 (+52.9% y/y), down for the eighth week in the last nine. Fewer applications to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 11 2012

  U.S. Import Prices Jump With Petroleum Prices

  U.S. import prices increased 1.3% (3.4% y/y) last month after a revised 0.1% dip during February, initially pegged as +0.4%. A 0.8% March rise had been expected. Year-to-year, higher oil prices and the lower value of the dollar have [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 10 2012

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Are Stable & Crude Oil Falls

  Finally, some relief. Pump prices for regular gasoline held steady last week at $3.94 per gallon but still were their highest since last May. The current level is up seventy cents (22%) since year-end. Haver Analytics' seasonally- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 10 2012

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Hold Steady

  Labor market improvement continued as indicated by the February job openings rate. For February, it held at a 2.6% for the third consecutive month which was the recovery's high. January was revised up from 2.5%. The figures are in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 10 2012

  U.S. Small Businesses Show Broad-based Concerns

  Small business optimism deteriorated last month. The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Optimism Index fell to 92.5 in March from an unrevised 94.3 February. The latest was the lowest since November. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief