Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 03 2012

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fall Sharply

  The job market picture brightened significantly last week. Initial unemployment insurance claims fell sharply to 365,000 from an upwardly revised 392,000 during the prior week, earlier reported as 388,000. The latest figure reversed [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 03 2012

  U.S. Labor Productivity Falls And Drives Up Costs

  Last quarter, labor productivity posted an outright decline of 0.5% (AR) after having weakened considerably during all of last year. The Q1 figure matched expectations. The decline followed last year's notable deterioration in growth [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 02 2012

  U.S. Factory Orders Decline With Fewer Aircraft Bookings

  Orders in the manufacturing sector dropped an expected 1.5% (+3.3% y/y) during March and reversed a little-revised 1.1% February jump. The decline reflected a 4.0% slump in orders for durable goods. That was little-changed from the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 02 2012

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Decline in April

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its index of total mortgage applications nudged up 0.1% w/w to 698.2 (52.2% y/y). That left the average level in April down 0.9% from March and down 10.9% from the February high. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 02 2012

  ADP Report Indicates Hiring Slowdown

  Job growth hit a soft-spot last month. Private sector payrolls rose 119,000 as reported by the payroll processor Automatic Data Processing (ADP) and economic consultants Macroeconomic Advisers. A 180,000 gain had been expected. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 01 2012

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Are High and Stable M/M

  Sales of light motor vehicles during April remained near the four-year high. Unit vehicle sales edged up 0.3% m/m to 14.42M (AR), according to Autodata Corporation. That sales rate was 9.5% higher than last April and remained nearly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 01 2012

  U.S. Construction Spending Stabilizes

  The value of construction put-in-place ticked 0.1% higher during March following a 1.4% February decline, initially reported as -1.1%. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% rise. Private sector spending increased 0.7% (11.5% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 01 2012

  U.S. ISM Factory Index Unexpectedly Improves Further

  Factory sector activity continued on the mend last month. The April ISM Composite Index of industrial sector activity rose to 54.8 from an unrevised 53.4 in March. The gain compared to Consensus expectations for a slip to 53.0. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 01 2012

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Fall Again

  For drivers of motor vehicles, fuel prices are finally providing some relief. The pump price of regular gasoline fell four cents last week to $3.83 per gallon, down for the fourth straight week. Haver Analytics' seasonally-adjusted [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 30 2012

  U.S. Personal Income Gain Helps Stabilize Savings Drawdown

  Consumers adopted a more conservative approach to their income last month. Personal income increased 0.4% (3.2% y/y) during March after a 0.3% February increase, last month reported as 0.2%. Last month's increase reflected a 0.3% rise [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 27 2012

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Improves Slightly

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for all of April improved to 76.4 versus 75.7 at mid-month and 76.2 in March. The figure compared to expectations for 75.7. The reading of current economic conditions rose from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 27 2012

  U.S. Employment Cost Index Increase Dips

  The employment cost index for private industry workers rose 0.4% in Q1 for total compensation versus a revised 0.5% Q4 rise, initially reported as 0.4%. The latest increase fell short of expectations for a 0.5% rise as compiled by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief