Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 17 2012

  U.S. Initial Claims For Unemployment Insurance Are Unchanged

  Initial unemployment insurance claims held steady during the week of May 12 at 370,000. Consensus expectations were for 365,000 filings. The figure for two weeks ago was revised up from 367,000. The four-week moving average of initial [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 16 2012

  U.S. Industrial Output Rebounds With Utility Gain

  Overall industrial output posted a 1.0% increase last month following a 0.5% March decline, initially reported as no change. The gain doubled Consensus expectations for a 0.5% increase according to Action Economics. A 4.6% (1.2% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 16 2012

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Recover With More Refinancing

  The Mortgage Bankers Association index of total mortgage applications rose 9.2% (43.1% y/y) during last week. The increase was paced by a 13.0% gain (64.3% y/y) in refinancing. Home purchase applications fell 2.4% w/w (2.0% y/y). [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 16 2012

  U.S. Housing Starts Rebound

  The rebound was modest, but at least it stemmed two months of decline. Housing starts in April rose 2.6% to 717,000 following a 2.6% decline during March, revised from 5.8% reported last month. Starts also slipped 0.3% in February. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 15 2012

  U.S. Home Builders' Index Again At Five-year High

  The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo reported that housing market activity this month reached a new height. The Composite Housing Market Index for May rose five points to 29, its highest level in four years. The index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 15 2012

  Empire State Factory Index Improves

  The Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions for May improved to 17.09 from an unrevised 6.56 in April. Consensus expectations had been for a rise to 9.3. Based on these figures, Haver Analytics calculates an index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 15 2012

  U.S. Overall CPI Is Unchanged; Core Price Increase Is Stable

  Consumer prices were unchanged last month versus an expected 0.1% uptick. The figure lessened the y/y increase to 2.3%, down from its peak of 3.9% last September. Prices less food and energy increased a steady 0.2%, also as expected. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 15 2012

  U.S. Retail Sales Strength Pulls Back

  Consumers lost their inclination to spend last month. Following four consecutive months of firm increase, retail sales ticked just 0.1% higher during April. That followed little-revised increases of 0.7% and 1.1% in March and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 15 2012

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Continue Downward

  The pump price of regular gasoline again fell four cents last week to $3.75 per gallon. The last six weeks of decline totals nineteen cents (4.7%) and reflects worries about economic growth in Europe and abundant supplies. Haver [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 11 2012

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Reaches Four Year high

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for mid-May rose to 77.8 from 76.4 in April. The gain was to the highest level since January 2008 and compared to expectations for a slip to 76.0. The reading of current [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 11 2012

  U.S. PPI Declines But Core Remains Firm

  The producer price index for finished goods fell 0.2% during April following an unrevised no-change in March. Consensus expectations were for prices to remain unchanged. Core pricing power continued to firm with the economy's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2012

  U.S. Import Price Decline Fueled By Oil Price Drop

  U.S. import prices fell 0.5% during April after a 1.5% March rise, initially pegged as 1.3%. A 0.2% dip had been expected. The year-to-year increase in import prices decelerated to 0.5%, as oil prices declined. Petroleum prices fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief