Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 10 2012

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Move Higher

  After two months of decline energy prices turned upward last week. The pump price of regular gasoline rose five cents to $3.41 per gallon last week. Haver Analytics' seasonally-adjusted price for regular rose six cents to $3.15 per [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 10 2012

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rebound

  The rate of labor market improvement rose during May. The Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the rate of 2.7% reversed its April decline and was improved versus the recession [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 10 2012

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Declines Sharply

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Small Business Optimism Index fell sharply during June to 91.4 from an unrevised 94.4 in May. The latest level was the lowest since October. The percentage of firms [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 10 2012

  U.S. Consumer Credit Growth Ramps Up

  Monthly growth in consumer credit picked up to its fastest this year during May. The Federal Reserve reported yesterday that credit grew $17.1B (AR, 5.3% y/y) after a $10.0B rise in April, revised from $6.5B. A $10.0B increase had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 06 2012

  U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Growth Continues Lethargic

  The job market remained under pressure last month. Nonfarm payrolls grew just 80,000 following gains of 77,000 and 68,000 during the prior two months, revised from 69,000 and 77,000, respectively. A 90,000 increase was expected for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 05 2012

  Challenger Reports A Large Drop in Job Cuts

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that 37,551 job cuts were announced this month, the fewest of the economic recovery. Job cut announcements fell in the aerospace/defense, automotive, computer, consumer [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 05 2012

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Continues Downward

  The service sector continues to lose its footing.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 05 2012

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fall

  Labor market improved further. Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell to 374,000 last week from 388,000, revised from 386,000. Consensus expectations were for 385,000 new claims. The four-week moving average of claims slipped [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 05 2012

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Recover Modestly

  Unit sales of light motor vehicles during June rose 2.2% to 14.08M (SAAR). The increase made up half of May's decline according to Autodata Corporation. The latest was slightly higher than the Consensus estimate for 13.9M sales, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 05 2012

  ADP Indicates Moderate Job Market Improvement

  Job growth rose last month but not by much. Private sector payrolls rose 176,000 in June as reported by the payroll processor Automatic Data Processing (ADP) and economic consultants Macroeconomic Advisers. A 100,000 gain had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 03 2012

  U.S. Factory Inventories Decumulate

  Inventories in the factory sector fell 0.2%, as they did in April. That lessened the y/y rate of inventory accumulation to 3.5%, down from its 13.6% rate one year ago. Lower rates of inventory accumulation occurred across industries. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 03 2012

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Continue Lower

  The start of the Summer driving season hasn't yet helped the price of gasoline. The pump price of regular gasoline declined eight cents to $3.38 per gallon last week. Since early April prices have fallen fifty eight cents (-14.8%). [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief