Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 14 2013

  U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Fall Again

  The job market is on the road to recovery. Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell to 341,000 (-5.5% y/y) during the week ended February 9 versus a revised 368,000 a week earlier, reported initially as 366,000. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 14 2013

  U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Rate Moderates

  Inventories are not sitting for long on businesses' shelves. Business inventories rose 0.1% (5.5% y/y) during December following a downwardly revised 0.2% November increase. That was the slowest monthly rise in six months. It lowered [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 13 2013

  U.S. Retail Sales Tick Higher

  . January retail sales ticked up a minimal 0.1% following an unrevised 0.5% December increase. November's increase was raised to 0.5% from 0.4%. The latest uptick matched expectations, according to Action Economics. Retail sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 13 2013

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Slide As Interest Rates Remain At Higher Level

  The Mortgage Bankers Association index of total mortgage applications fell 6.4% (-0.7% y/y) last week to the lowest level in five weeks. Home purchase applications fell 9.5% (17.3% y/y) while applications to refinance an existing loan [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 13 2013

  U.S. Import and Export Prices Rebound

  U.S. prices in the foreign trade sector recovered last month following December weakness. Import prices increased 0.6% (-1.3% y/y) after a 0.5% December decline, originally reported as -0.1%. The Action Economics survey looked for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 13 2013

  U.S. Retail Sales Tick Higher

  Growth in consumer spending throttled back last month following a firm ending to last year. January retail sales ticked up a minimal 0.1% following an unrevised 0.5% December increase. November's increase was raised to 0.5% from 0.4%. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 12 2013

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Fall To 12-Month Low

  Consumers continue to rein in spending. The latest report from the International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs indicated that chain store sales fell 2.5% last week (+2.1% y/y) to the lowest level since February 2012. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 12 2013

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Add to Earlier Gains

  The pump price for a gallon of regular gasoline rose notably for the fourth consecutive week. Last week's seven cent increase to $3.61 per gallon (2.5% y/y) pulled them up 36 cents from the December low. The norm for this time of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 12 2013

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Retraces Earlier Gains

  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, in the December Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report, the job openings rate fell to 2.6% from 2.8% in November, revised from 2.7%. The latest remained up from the recession [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 12 2013

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Recovers Further

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its January Small Business Optimism Index rose for the second straight month. The advance to 88.9 was from 88.0 in December and 87.5 in November, the lowest reading since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 11 2013

  U.S. Homebuyers Index Reaches New High In 2012

  First-time homebuyers saw three necessary ingredients for a favorable buying environment in 2012; low prices, lower interest rates and lower monthly payments. The National Association of Homebuilders reported that their Composite [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 08 2013

  U.S. Trade Deficit Shrinks to Lowest Since January 2010

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit during December improved to $38.5 from little-revised $48.6B in November. A $46.0B deficit had been expected. The latest deficit was the least since January 2010. The improvement was due to a 2.1% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief