Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jun 18 2013

  U.S. CPI Ticks Higher But Food Prices Slip

  The cost of living remains under control. The consumer price index edged up a minimal 0.1% in May (1.4% y/y), the first positive change in three months. Expectations were for a 0.2% increase. Prices excluding food and energy gained [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 18 2013

  U.S. Housing Starts Rise As Multi-family Recovers

  Housing starts recovered last month following a sharp April decline. There has been no growth, however, during the last several months. Total housing starts increased 6.8% (28.6% y/y) during May to 914,000 (AR) from 856,000 in April, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 17 2013

  U.S. Home Builders Index Surges To Highest Level Since 2006

  Improvement in the housing market is gaining momentum. The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo improved greatly to 52 in June from an unrevised May reading of 44. Expectations were [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 17 2013

  Empire State Factory Index Recovers but Components Weaken

  The Federal Reserve Bank of New York indicated that its Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions rose to 7.84 this month from an unrevised -1.43 in May. The latest figure exceeded Consensus expectations for 0.8. That, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2013

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Deflates Moderately

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for mid-June fell to 82.7 (13.0% y/y) from an unrevised 84.5 in May. The figure disappointed the consensus forecast for stability at 84.3. During the last ten years, there has [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2013

  U.S. Industrial Output Nudges Higher

  Activity in the factory sector continues on a weak footing. Industrial production ticked up just 0.1% during May following a 0.5% April decline, earlier reported as -0.6%. A 0.2% rise had been expected in the Action Economics survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2013

  U.S. PPI Moves Upward With Energy and Food Prices

  The deflation of wholesale prices ended last month. The producer price index for finished goods recovered 0.5% in May (1.8% y/y) following an unrevised 0.7% April drop. The increase exceeded consensus expectations for a 0.1% uptick. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 13 2013

  U.S. Business Inventories Post Increase Moderately

  Total business inventories gained 0.3% (4.2% y/y) after having been roughly unchanged for two months. The figure was accompanied by a 0.1% slip (+1.5% y/y) in business sales, the second month of decline. As a result, the inventory-to- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 13 2013

  U.S. Import and Export Prices Decline

  Prices in the U.S. foreign trade sector are under pressure. Import prices fell 0.6% last month (-1.9% y/y) following a revised 0.7% April drop, initially reported as -0.5%. No change in prices had been expected in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 13 2013

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Continue Lower

  The job market remains firm. Initial unemployment insurance claims fell to 334,000 (-12.6% y/y) during the week ended June 8 from an unrevised 346,000 during the week prior. Consensus expectations were for 345,000 claims. The four [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 13 2013

  U.S. Retail Sales Post a Surprisingly Firm Gain

  The consumer remains in a spending mood. Retail sales during May rose 0.6% (4.3% y/y) following an unrevised 0.1% April uptick. The latest figure beat consensus expectations for a 0.4% gain, according to Action Economics. Retail sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 12 2013

  U.S. Budget Deficit Grows Modestly

  The Federal Government ran a budget deficit during May of FY'13 of $138.7B, slightly larger than the $124.6B during May of last year. The figure compared to consensus expectations for a $109B deficit. So far this fiscal year the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief