The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo jumped to 59 during September from an unrevised from 55 in August. The latest figure was the highest since November 2005 and beat [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Sep 17 2014U.S. Home Builders Index Improves Sharply
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Sep 17 2014U.S. Consumer Price Declines Are Broad-based
The consumer price index declined 0.2% during August (+1.7% y/y) following an unrevised 0.1% uptick. The decline was the first since April of last year and missed expectations for no change in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Sep 16 2014U.S. Chain Store Sales Weaken Sharply
The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs reported that chain store sales fell 2.6% last week (+3.0% y/y). The decline left sales so far in September 1.0% below August when sales fell 1.5% from July. During the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Sep 16 2014U.S. Energy Prices Move Lower
Prices for energy products remained under pressure last week. The price for a gallon of regular gasoline declined to $3.41 (-3.9% y/y). It was the lowest level since mid-February. To account for seasonal patterns, Haver Analytics [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Sep 16 2014U.S. Producer Prices Remain Unchanged; Core Index Up 0.1%
The overall Final Demand Producer Price Index held steady during August (1.8% y/y) following an unrevised 0.1% uptick in July. A 0.1% rise was expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Prices excluding food & energy gained [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Sep 16 2014U.S. Producer Prices Remain Unchanged; Core Index Up 0.1%
The overall Final Demand Producer Price Index held steady during August (1.8% y/y) following an unrevised 0.1% uptick in July. A 0.1% rise was expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Prices excluding food & energy gained [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Sep 15 2014U.S. Industrial Production is Led Lower by Durable Goods
Industrial production slipped 0.1% last month (+4.1% y/y) following a 0.2% July increase, revised from 0.4%. The decline was driven by a 0.4% shortfall (+1.3% y/y) in factory output during August after increasing 0.7%, last month [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Sep 15 2014Empire State Factory Sector Index Moves Up to 2009 High
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that its Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions jumped to 27.54 during September after moving lower in August to 14.69. It was the highest level since October 2009 and [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Sep 12 2014U.S. Business Inventory Gain Is Steady; Sales Increase Firms
Total business inventories increased 0.4% in July (5.9% y/y) after an unrevised 0.4% rise during June. For all of last quarter, faster accumulation of inventories added 1.4 percentage points to real GDP growth after a 1.2 percentage [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Sep 12 2014U.S. Import and Export Prices Move Lower
Import prices fell 0.9% during August (-0.4% y/y) following a revised 0.3% decline during July, earlier reported as -0.2%. A 1.0% shortfall was expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. A 4.4% decline (-5.3% y/y) in petroleum [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Sep 12 2014U.S. Retail Sales Increase Is Unexpectedly Strong
Retail and food service sales improved 0.6% during August (5.0% y/y) following a revised 0.3% July gain, revised from no change. A 0.5% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Sales increases were broad- [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Sep 11 2014U.S. Budget Deficit's Decline Continues
The Federal Government posted a $128.7 billion budget deficit during August of FY 2014, and roughly matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. For the first eleven months of the current fiscal year, the government [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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