Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 10 2015

  U.S. Wholesale Inventory Accumulation Rate Intensified Last Year

  Inventories at the wholesale level during all of last year increased 6.7%, the fastest rate since 2011. During December, however, the gain slipped back to just 0.1% after an unrevised 0.8% jump in November. Durable goods inventories [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 10 2015

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Reaches New High

  The job openings rate during December jumped to 3.5%, a record high. During all of 2014, the 3.5% rate was near the record reached in 2000. The job openings rate is the number of job openings on the last business day of the month as a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 10 2015

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Fades Somewhat

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Small Business Optimism Index for January declined to 97.9 from the unrevised high of 100.4 during December. The figure, nevertheless, remained near its highest level [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 10 2015

  U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices Move Up

  Average gasoline prices improved another 12 cents last week to $2.19 per gallon (-33.8% y/y) following the prior week's 3 cent lift from the low. Prices peaked at $3.70 per gallon this past June. Haver Analytics constructs factors [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 09 2015

  U.S. Labor Market Conditions Index Dips M/M but Trends Sideways

  The Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) is a tool created by the Federal Reserve Board to assess changes in labor market conditions. It draws on 19 indicators, from broad measures like the unemployment rate to narrower indicators [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 06 2015

  U.S. Payroll Jobs & Earnings Grow More Than Expected; Unemployment Rate Nudges Higher

  Employment: (M/M Chg., 000s) Jan Dec Nov Y/Y 2014 2013 2012 Payroll Employment 257 329 423 2.3% 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% Previous -- 252 353 -- -- -- -- Manufacturing 22 26 45 1.9 1.4 0.8 1.7 Construction 39 44 30 5.1 4.8 3.7 2.1 Private [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 06 2015

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Accelerates in 2014

  The improvement in consumer confidence last year was accompanied by increased borrowing. For all of 2014, consumer credit outstanding rose 6.9%, the largest rise since 2001. For December alone, consumer credit outstanding gained $14.8 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 06 2015

  U.S. Payroll Jobs & Earnings Grow More Than Expected; Unemployment Rate Nudges Higher

  Improvement in the job market is strengthening. Payroll employment increased 257,000 (2.3% y/y) during January following upwardly revised gains of 329,000 and 423,000 during the prior two months. The average change in payrolls during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 06 2015

  U.S. Payroll Jobs & Earnings Grow More Than Expected; Unemployment Rate Nudges Higher

  Improvement in the job market is strengthening. Payroll employment increased 257,000 (2.3% y/y) during January following upwardly revised gains of 329,000 and 423,000 during the prior two months. The average change in payrolls during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 06 2015

  U.S. Payroll Jobs & Earnings Grow More Than Expected; Unemployment Rate Nudges Higher

  Employment: (M/M Chg., 000s) Jan Dec Nov Y/Y 2014 2013 2012 Payroll Employment 257 329 423 2.3% 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% Previous -- 252 353 -- -- -- -- Manufacturing 22 26 45 1.9 1.4 0.8 1.7 Construction 39 44 30 5.1 4.8 3.7 2.1 Private [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 05 2015

  Challenger Job Cut Announcements Surge

  The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during January jumped to 53,041 (17.6% y/y) from 32,640 in December. It was the highest layoff level since February 2013. Layoffs rose m/m in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 05 2015

  U.S. Worker Productivity Deteriorates Pushing Unit Labor Costs Higher

  Nonfarm productivity declined at a 1.8% annual rate last quarter and was unchanged y/y. The figure followed an upwardly revised 3.7% increase in Q3. For all of last year, worker productivity rose 0.8% on average, about the same as it [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief