Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 01 2015

  U.S. ISM Factory Index Falls to Lowest Level Since 2009

  Activity in the manufacturing sector declined last month according the Institute for Supply Management. Its Composite Index of factory sector activity fell to 48.6 during November from an unrevised October reading of 50.1. This was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 01 2015

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Decline; Crude Oil Nudges Up

  Gasoline prices at the pump declined last week to $2.06 per gallon, down 3 cents from the prior week. Prices were down 25.9% y/y and roughly equaled the January low of $2.04. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 30 2015

  Dallas Fed Factory Sector Activity Improves; Employment Figures Strengthen

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reported that its November Composite index of factory sector activity increased to -4.9 from -12.7. The reading is up from the May low of -20.8. The production component showed the most improvement [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 30 2015

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Improve

  The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending sales of single-family homes gained 0.2% during October (2.1% y/y) following a revised 1.6% September drop, initially reported as -2.3%. Sales remained 4.1% below the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 30 2015

  Chicago Business Barometer Reverses Earlier Improvement; Suggests Economic Contraction

  The Chicago Business Barometer in November plummeted 7.5 points to 48.7 and fully reversed its October rise. The latest equaled the lowest reading since May 2015 and was led by a sharp decline in new orders. The drop in the overall [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 25 2015

  U.S. New Home Sales Rise M/M but Tread Water This Year

  Sales of new single-family homes increased 10.7% during October to 495,000 (AR) from 447,000 in September, revised from 468,000. The gain left sales up 4.9% y/y but unchanged since December. Sales of 500,000 had been expected in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 25 2015

  U.S. Personal Spending Inches Higher as Income Strengthens

  Consumers are exhibiting cautious spending behavior despite firm income gains. Personal consumption expenditures improved 0.12% (2.9% y/y) in October, the same as September's 0.08% rise which was unrevised. These were the smallest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 25 2015

  U.S. Personal Spending Inches Higher as Income Strengthens

  Personal consumption expenditures improved 0.12% (2.9% y/y) in October, near September's 0.08% rise which was unrevised. These were the smallest gains since January and missed expectations for a 0.3% rise in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 25 2015

  U.S. Personal Spending Inches Higher as Income Strengthens

  Personal consumption expenditures improved 0.12% (2.9% y/y) in October, the same as September's rise which was unrevised. These were the smallest gains since January and missed expectations for a 0.3% rise in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 24 2015

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Continue To Track Lower

  Gasoline prices at the pump fell last week to $2.09 per gallon, down 9 cents from the prior week. Prices were down 25.8% y/y, but remained slightly above the January low of $2.04. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 24 2015

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Deteriorates Broadly

  The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index in November unexpectedly fell for a second straight month. The overall index declined 8.8% to 90.4, the lowest level since September of 2014. The consensus expectation was for a roughly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 24 2015

  U.S. GDP Growth Is Revised Up With Inventories; Corporate Profits Decline

  Economic growth was revised higher to 2.1% (AR) during Q3'15 versus the advance reading of a 1.5% increase. The gain followed unrevised 3.9% growth during Q2. A slower rate of inventory decumulation reduced growth last quarter by 0.6 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief