Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 12 2015

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Remain Unchanged

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance held steady during the week ended November 7 at 276,000 (-6.1% y/y). The prior week's level was unrevised and the highest since the last week of September. The Action Economics Forecast Survey [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 12 2015

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Inches Higher but Hiring Dips

  The job openings rate rose to 3.7% during September from 3.6% during August. The latest figure compared to 3.2% one year earlier and remained near the highest level of the economic recovery. The private sector job openings rate of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 12 2015

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Inches Higher but Hiring Dips

  The job openings rate rose to 3.7% during September from 3.6% during August. The latest figure compared to 3.2% one year earlier and remained near the highest level of the economic recovery. The private sector job openings rate of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 11 2015

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Continue Moving Lower

  Lackluster performance within the factory sector has left industrial commodity prices under pressure. The industrial commodity price index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) deteriorated by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 10 2015

  U.S. Wholesale Inventory Accumulation Improves

  Inventories at the wholesale level rose 0.5% during September (4.5% y/y) following a 0.3% August increase. The rise was paced by a 1.3% jump (8.4% y/y) in furniture and a 0.5% rise (12.8% y/y) in automotive inventories.. Computer & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 10 2015

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Move Slightly Higher

  Gasoline prices at the pump improved last week to $2.24 per gallon, up 2 cents from the prior week. Prices were down 24.0% y/y, they were 9.8% above the January low of $2.04. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 10 2015

  U.S. Import Price Decline Is Broad-Based

  Import prices declined 0.5% during October (-10.5% y/y) following a 0.6% shortfall in September, revised from -0.1%. A 0.1% slip had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Petroleum prices fell 2.1% (-48.0% y/y) after [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 10 2015

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Index Remains Steady

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Small Business Optimism Index remained unchanged during October following a slight uptick in September. The latest figure remained below the high of 100.4 in December. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 09 2015

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Grows at a Record Rate

  Consumer credit outstanding surged $28.9 billion (7.1% y/y) during September following an unrevised $16.0 billion August rise. It was the largest increase in postwar history and lifted y/y growth to 7.1%. Expectations were for a $17.2 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 09 2015

  U.S. Labor Market Conditions Index Remains Weak

  The Labor Market Conditions Index from the Federal Reserve Board includes 19 indicators of labor market activity, covering the broad categories of unemployment and underemployment. These include jobs, workweeks, wages, vacancies, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 09 2015

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Grows at a Record Rate

  Consumer credit outstanding surged $28.9 billion (7.1% y/y) during September following an unrevised $16.0 billion August rise. It was the largest increase in postwar history and lifted y/y growth to 7.1%. Expectations were for a $17.2 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 06 2015

  U.S. Payroll Increase is Largest This Year; Earnings Strengthen and Jobless Rate Declines

  The labor market exhibited unexpected strength last month. Nonfarm payroll employment increased 271,000 during October following revised gains of 137,000 and 153,000 during the prior two months. Together, revisions added 12,000 jobs. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief