Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 19 2016

  U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices Increase

  Regular gasoline prices increased to $2.14 per gallon last week (-14.0% y/y) versus $2.07 in the prior week, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. The price compares to a low of $1.72 in February, but remained down from a 2014 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 19 2016

  U.S. Housing Starts Decline Sharply

  Housing starts fell 8.8% (+14.2% y/y) during March to 1.089 million units (AR) from 1.194 million in February, revised from 1.178 million. It was the lowest level of starts since October. Expectations were for 1.89 million starts in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 18 2016

  U.S. Home Builders Index Remains Unchanged

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo held at 58 for the third straight month. It remained down from the October high of 65. The NAHB figures are seasonally adjusted. During the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 15 2016

  U.S. Industrial Production Declines Are Broad-Based

  Industrial output declined 0.6% during March after a 0.6% February drop, revised from -0.5%. No change in output had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Annual data revisions, released earlier this month, lowered [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 15 2016

  Empire State Factory Sector Activity Index Improves Further

  The Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions continued to indicate expansion in business activity this month. The New York index increased to 9.56 following its surge into positive territory during March. It was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 14 2016

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Near 1973 Low

  Initial claims for jobless insurance fell to 253,000 during the week ended April 9 from a little-changed 266,000 in the prior week. For the past year, claims have hovered near the lowest level since 1973. Expectations were for 270,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 14 2016

  U.S. CPI Lifted by Energy Prices; Core Prices Slow

  The Consumer Price Index nudged 0.1% higher (0.9% y/y) during March. It was the first increase in four months. A 0.2% rise had been expected in the Action Economic Forecast Survey. The CPI excluding food & energy also rose 0.1% versus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 13 2016

  U.S. Producer Prices Ease; Energy Prices Increase

  The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index dipped 0.1% (-0.1% y/y) in March after an unrevised 0.2% February decline. The easing compared to a 0.3% increase expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. A 0.9% decline (-2.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 13 2016

  U.S. Business Inventories & Sales Ease

  Total business inventories edged 0.1% lower m/m (+1.2% y/y) during February following a 0.1% dip in January, revised from +0.1%. Total business sales fell 0.4% m/m (-1.4% y/y), the seventh consecutive month of decline. Retail [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 13 2016

  U.S. Producer Prices Ease; Energy Prices Increase

  The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index dipped 0.1% (-0.1% y/y) in March after an unrevised 0.2% February decline. The easing compared to a 0.3% increase expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. A 0.9% decline (-2.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 13 2016

  U.S. Retail Sales Decline Unexpectedly

  Consumers continue to spend cautiously. Total retail sales & spending at food services declined 0.3% (+1.7% y/y) during March following no change in February, last month reported as a 0.1% dip. The decline in sales compared to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 12 2016

  U.S. Budget Deficit Doubles

  The U.S. Treasury Department reported a $108.0 billion budget deficit during March of 2016, roughly double the size of the $52.9 billion deficit twelve months earlier. A $94.0 billion deficit had been expected in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief