Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 13 2016

  U.S. Producer Prices Increase Broadly

  The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index increased 0.2% (0.0% y/y) in April after an unrevised 0.1% March dip. The rise compared to a 0.3% increase expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. A 0.3% decline (-2.0% y/y) in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 13 2016

  U.S. Retail Spending Strengthens

  Total retail sales & spending at restaurants increased 1.3% (3.0% y/y) during April following a 0.3% decline, unrevised from the preliminary report. The rise compared to expectations for a 0.8% improvement in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 12 2016

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Surge

  The labor market is under pressure. Initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped to 294,000 (7.8% y/y) during the week ended May 7, after rising to an unrevised 274,000 in the prior week. It was the highest level of claims since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 12 2016

  U.S. Import Prices Continue to Increase; Nonoil Prices Rise

  Import prices increased 0.3% during April (-5.7% y/y) following a 0.3% March rise, revised from 0.2%. The increase was softer than the 0.6% gain expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These figures are not seasonally [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 11 2016

  U.S. Budget Surplus Shrinks

  The U.S. Treasury Department reported a $106.5 billion budget surplus during April of 2016, smaller than the $156.7 billion surplus twelve months earlier. A $112.5 billion deficit had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 11 2016

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Are Little Changed; Financing Rates Ease

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Market Volume Index nudged 0.4% higher last week (18.9% y/y) following a 3.4% decline. Purchase applications also improved 0.4% (14.0% y/y) after little change in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2016

  U.S. Wholesale Inventories Remain Little Changed

  Inventories at the wholesale level nudged 0.1% higher (0.2% y/y) during March following a 0.6% decline in February, revised from -0.5%. Nondurable goods sector inventories rose 0.5% (4.6% y/y) as petroleum inventories increased 3.3% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2016

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Strengthens, But Hires Ease

  The job openings rate increased to 3.9% during March from 3.8% in February, revised from 3.7%. The increase was to a level which equaled the record high. The private sector job openings rate held steady m/m at 4.1%, slightly below the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2016

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Top Out

  Regular gasoline prices eased to $2.22 per gallon last week (-17.5% y/y) after rising to $2.24 in the prior week, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. Prices remained near the highest level since October. The price compares to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 10 2016

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Improves Slightly

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Small Business Optimism Index increased 1.1% during April to 93.6 following declines in three of the four prior months. An improved 8% of firms reported that now was a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 09 2016

  U.S. Home Affordability Deteriorates as Home Prices Rise

  The National Association of Realtors reported that the Composite Index of Home Affordability declined 2.6% during April to 169.3 following two months of increase. The index remained down 2.4% versus 12-months earlier. During the last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 09 2016

  U.S. Labor Market Conditions Index Improves

  The Labor Market Conditions Index from the Federal Reserve Board includes 19 indicators of labor market activity, covering the broad categories of unemployment and underemployment. These include jobs, workweeks, wages, vacancies, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief