Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 23 2016

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Increase

  Initial unemployment insurance claims increased 18,000 (-4.9% y/y) to 251,000 during the week ended November 19 following a fall to 233,000 claims in the week prior, revised from 235,000. It remained the lowest level of claims since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 22 2016

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Reach 2007 High; Prices Decline

  Sales of existing homes increased 2.0% (5.9% y/y) during October to 5.600 million (AR) after a 3.6% increase to 5.490 million in September, revised up from 5.470 million. The latest level was the highest since February 2007. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 18 2016

  Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Weakens; Expectations Ease

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City reported that its index of regional manufacturing sector business activity declined to 1 during November from an unrevised 6 during each of the prior two months. That still represented [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 18 2016

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Nudge Higher

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators improved 0.1% during October (1.1% y/y) following an unrevised 0.2% September increase. The gain matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 18 2016

  Philadelphia Fed Factory Business Outlook Survey Indicates Growth

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index remained positive in November. At 7.6, it was fourth consecutive reading above zero, and followed an unrevised 9.7 in October. It was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 17 2016

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Underpin Labor Market Strength

  Labor market improvement is nowhere more evident than in fewer claims for jobless insurance. Initial claims for unemployment insurance declined to 235,000 (-14.5% y/y) during the week ended November 12 following an unrevised fall to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 17 2016

  U.S. CPI Gain Raised Again by Energy Prices; Core Prices Increase Minimally

  The consumer price index increased 0.4% (1.6% y/y) during October following an unrevised 0.3% rise. It was the strongest increase in six months, and matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Prices excluding food & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 17 2016

  U.S. Housing Starts Reach 2007 High; Permits Improve

  Housing starts increased 25.5% (23.3% y/y) during October to 1.323 million (AR) following a September decline to 1.054 million, revised from 1.047 million. It was the highest level of starts since August 2007. Expectations were for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2016

  U.S. Industrial Production Is Unchanged; Factory Output Improves

  Industrial output was steady during October (-0.9% y/y) following a 0.2% September decline, revised from a 0.1% increase. An August decline of 0.1% was revised from -0.5%. The unchanged October reading disappointed expectations for a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2016

  U.S. Home Builders Index Steadies

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo held at 63 (1.6% y/y) during November following an unrevised decline from 65 in September. The NAHB figures are seasonally adjusted. During [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2016

  U.S. Producer Prices Remain Unchanged in October with Firming Trend in Place

  The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index held steady (0.8% y/y) during October following an unrevised 0.3% September gain. A 0.3% rise had been expected for last month in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Excluding food & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 15 2016

  U.S. Petroleum & Natural Gas Prices Fall

  Energy product prices continued to decline last week. Regular gasoline prices declined to $2.18 per gallon (+0.3% y/y) last week, the lowest level since mid-August. Prices remained down versus a 2014 high of $3.71 per gallon. Haver [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief