Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 03 2017

  U.S. Factory Orders Increase Sharply

  Manufacturing sector orders jumped 3.0% in June (9.1% y/y) following a 0.3% May dip, revised from -0.8%. Durable goods orders strengthened 6.4% (14.8% y/y), revised from 6.5% in the advance report. Transportation sector orders [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 03 2017

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Declines Sharply; Prices Improve

  The Composite Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Activity from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) fell to 53.9 during July from 57.4 in June. It was the lowest level for the index since August of last year. The Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 03 2017

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Applications Ease

  Initial filings for unemployment insurance fell to 240,000 (-9.7% y/y) during the week ended July 29 from 245,000 in the prior week, revised from 244,000. The figure matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 02 2017

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Fall

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index declined 2.8% (-22.8% y/y) in the week ended July 28 following a 0.4% rise in the prior week. Applications to refinance declined 3.8% (-41.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 02 2017

  U.S. ADP Private Payrolls Increase Slows

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report indicated that private nonfarm payrolls increased 178,000 during July (1.9% y/y) following a 191,000 June gain, revised from 158,000. May's increase was revised to 233,000 from 230,000. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2017

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Improve Slightly

  Total sales of light vehicles rose 0.4% during July (-5.9% y/y) to 16.77 million units (SAAR) from 16.70 million in June, according to the Autodata Corporation. Earlier data were revised. Passenger car sales increased 3.9% (-12.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2017

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Improve Slightly

  Total sales of light vehicles rose 0.5% during July (-6.0% y/y) to 16.73 million units (SAAR) from 16.64 million in June, according to the Autodata Corporation. Data for 2016 were revised slightly. Passenger car sales increased 3.9% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2017

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Continue Higher

  Regular gasoline prices rose to $2.35 per gallon last week (8.9% y/y) from $2.31 in the prior week. They remained down, however, from the high of $2.45 per gallon in late-April. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2017

  ISM Factory Sector Index Backpedals

  The ISM factory sector composite index fell to 56.3 during July from June's unrevised reading of 57.8. The index has been close to this level all year, but remained well above the 2015 low of 47.9. A level of 56.4 had been expected in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2017

  U.S. Personal Income Stagnates and Spending Slows

  Personal income was unchanged during June (2.6% y/y) following a 0.3% May rise, revised from 0.4%. A 0.4% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Figures back to 2014 were revised and last year's increase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 01 2017

  U.S. Personal Income Stagnates and Spending Slows

  Personal income was unchanged during June (2.6% y/y) following a 0.3% May rise, revised from 0.4%. A 0.4% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Figures back to 2014 were revised and last year's increase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 31 2017

  Texas Factory Sector Improvement Continues

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas indicated in its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey that the July General Business Activity Index improved slightly to 16.8 and made up most of June's decline. The index remained, however, well below [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief